Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 24 May 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Monumental Virgen de Chapi (Arequipa)

Referee: Alves Batista E. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports


	FBC Melgar		Atlético Nacional

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.75	Watch
	2.75	2.9	2.75
	2.7	3.15	2.75
	2.81	3.06	2.86
	2.5	3	2.6
	2.71	3.1	2.73	Watch
	2.7	2.95	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.61)	3.02 ↓ (3.22)	2.73 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FBC Melgar
34.8%

Draw
31%

Atlético Nacional
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

28.9%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

28.9%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

FBC Melgar - Atlético Nacional Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Melgar will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Atlético Nacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Atlético Nacional have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Melgar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1
19.05.23	FBC Melgar - Alianza Lima	2:1 ✺
15.05.23	FBC Melgar - Deportivo Garcilaso	2:4 ✺
12.05.23	FBC Melgar - Sport Boys	2:0 ✺
08.05.23	Unión Comercio - FBC Melgar	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.05.23	Patronato Parana - FBC Melgar	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWTL
- Atlético Nacional Medellin
Colombian Primera A
20.05.23	Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Nacional	1:1 ✺
17.05.23	Deportes Tolima - Atlético Nacional	2:2 ✺
14.05.23	Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Nacional	2:1 ✺
11.05.23	Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Nacional	0:2 ✺
07.05.23	Atlético Nacional - Boyacá Chicó	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
20.04.23	Atlético Nacional - FBC Melgar	3:1

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