Match Info

Date: 27 April 2022, Wednesday


	FBC Melgar		Racing

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.7
	3.1	3.1	2.3
	2.8	3.15	2.45
	2.75	3.05	2.47
	2.91	3.14	2.62
	3.1	2.9	2.3	Watch
	2.75	3.28	2.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (3.98)	3.09 ↓ (3.1)	2.47 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FBC Melgar
32.2%

Draw
30.1%

Racing
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

30.5%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

30.7%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FBC Melgar's performance.

Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Racing might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FBC Melgar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Racing could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

FBC Melgar - Racing Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Melgar will win (votes: 10 - 33.3%). Racing will win (votes: 15 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 32.1% – 67.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Melgar is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Racing in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Racing could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Racing will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1
22.04.22	Deportivo Municipal - FBC Melgar	1:3 ✺
17.04.22	FBC Melgar - Universidad César Vallejo	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
13.04.22	FBC Melgar - River Plate Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
10.04.22	Universidad San Martín - FBC Melgar	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.04.22	Cuiabá - FBC Melgar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWLL
- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
24.04.22	Racing - Newells Old Boys	0:0 ✺
20.04.22	Patronato Parana - Racing	2:3 ✺
16.04.22	Racing - Unión Santa Fe	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
13.04.22	Racing - Cuiabá	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
10.04.22	Platense - Racing	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWWWW

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