Match Info

Date: 13 April 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	FBC Melgar		River Plate Montevideo

	1	X	2
	1.61	4	5.5
	1.68	3.6	4.8
	1.61	3.75	5.25	Watch
	1.55	3.6	5.6
	1.6	3.99	5.74
	1.6	3.4	5.5
	1.58	3.74	5.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.66)	3.73 ↑ (3.65)	5.41 ↑ (4.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FBC Melgar
57.9%

Draw
24.9%

River Plate Montevideo
17.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.9%

25.4%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

25.6%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

River Plate Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1%)

FBC Melgar - River Plate Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

River Plate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Melgar is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Melgar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Melgar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1
10.04.22	Universidad San Martín - FBC Melgar	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.04.22	Cuiabá - FBC Melgar	2:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
02.04.22	FBC Melgar - Carlos Stein	3:0 ✺
20.03.22	Cantolao - FBC Melgar	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.03.22	FBC Melgar - Cienciano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWWW
- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
10.04.22	River Plate Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	4:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.04.22	River Plate Montevideo - Racing	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.04.22	Alianza Lima - River Plate Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
02.04.22	Defensor Sporting - River Plate Montevideo	3:2 ✺
20.03.22	River Plate Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
18.05.17	FBC Melgar - River Plate Montevideo	2:3
13.04.17	River Plate Montevideo - FBC Melgar	4:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1
02.11.26	Sport Huancayo - FBC Melgar	✺
- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
01.11.26	River Plate Montevideo - Tacuarembó	✺

FBC Melgar - River Plate Montevideo