Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 January 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio de Couto (Ourense)

Referee: Ortiz M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 5
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Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Hungary	Sport 1
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Kazakhstan	Sport+
Mexico	Sky Sport
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Poland	TVP Sport
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP
South-america	DGO Latin America
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Turkey	Tivibu Spor 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter
World	DirecTV Sports, Disney+


	Ourense CF		Valencia

	1	X	2
	6.25	3.8	1.57	Watch
	6.5	3.7	1.6
	6.5	3.75	1.62
	6.78	3.67	1.59	Watch
	6	3.4	1.57	Watch
	6.95	3.52	1.61	Watch
	6.5	3.75	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.5 ↑ (4.78)	3.66 ↑ (3.64)	1.6 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ourense CF
14.6%

Draw
26%

Valencia
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

25.9%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

27.3%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ourense CF's form might have worsened.

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Ourense CF - Valencia Predictions

Users Predictions: Valencia will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Guillen P. (G) 5. Prado M. 4. Carmona F. 15. Zalaya A. 17. Prada R. 6. Fidalgo A. 8. Ramos J. (C) 10. Gil A. 22. Noriega J. 21. Raigal J. 7. Carbonell J.	13. Dimitrievski S. (G) 20. Foulquier D. 3. Mosquera C. 24. Gasiorowski Y. 21. Vazquez J. 6. Guillamon H. 18. Pepelu (C) 30. Valera G. 32. Tejon M. 7. Canos S. 12. Sadiq U.
Substitutes
2. Andrada F. 14. del Olmo I. 9. Di Renzo G. 23. Fullana F. 11. Gil A. 16. Juanma Bravo 1. Marqueta R. (G) 19. Rodriguez M. 20. Sanchez A. 3. Sanz H.	10. Almeida A. 5. Barrenechea E. 38. Cordoba I. 1. Domenech J. (G) 9. Duro H. 17. Gomez D. 8. Guerra J. 16. Lopez D. 45. Lopez P. 31. Rubo 15. Tarrega C.
Coaches
Lopez P.	Corberan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 0 - 1, Carmona F. (Own goal),
62', Noriega J. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
62', Fidalgo A. ↓, Fullana F. ↑,
69', Valera G. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
69', Mosquera C. ↓, Tarrega C. ↑,
70', Foulquier D. ↓, Rubo ↑,
72', Raigal J. ↓, Juanma Bravo ↑,
76', Tejon M. ↓, Almeida A. ↑,
78', 0 - 2, Sadiq U. ⚽, Canos S. (A),
79', Ramos J. ↓, Di Renzo G. ↑,
79', Gil A. ↓,
88', Sadiq U. ↓, Lopez P. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ourense CF could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Valencia is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.01.25	Ourense CF - Lugo	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.01.25	Ourense CF - Valladolid	3:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.12.24	Real Sociedad B - Ourense CF	2:1 ✺
15.12.24	Ourense CF - Sestao	0:0 ✺
07.12.24	Zamora - Ourense CF	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WWLTT
- CF Valencia
Spanish LaLiga
11.01.25	Sevilla - Valencia	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.01.25	Eldense - Valencia	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
03.01.25	Valencia - Real Madrid	1:2 ✺
22.12.24	Valencia - Deportivo Alavés	2:2 ✺
18.12.24	Espanyol - Valencia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWLTT

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