Match Info

Date: 25 January 2021, Monday


	FC Eindhoven		NEC Nijmegen

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.6	2.3	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.35
	2.65	3.7	2.35	Watch
	2.65	3.45	2.37
	2.75	3.82	2.48
	2.62	3.4	2.3	Watch
	2.75	3.6	2.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (3)	3.58 ↓ (3.71)	2.37 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Eindhoven
34.9%

Draw
25.9%

NEC Nijmegen
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

24.9%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

19%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and NEC Nijmegen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FC Eindhoven that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+18.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that NEC Nijmegen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	19.4%	55.6%

FC Eindhoven - NEC Nijmegen Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. FC Eindhoven will win (votes: 9 - 25%). Nijmegen will win (votes: 20 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 19.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 39.4% – 71.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion to Eredivisie (Relegation)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

FC Eindhoven could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Nijmegen have a series of home games.

Nijmegen will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches FC Eindhoven won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-21.

Including matches at home between the teams FC Eindhoven won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Eindhoven
Dutch Eerste Divisie
15.01.21	Excelsior - FC Eindhoven	1:0 ✺
08.01.21	Almere City - FC Eindhoven	0:0 ✺
03.01.21	FC Eindhoven - Cambuur	2:5 ✺
18.12.20	Den Bosch - FC Eindhoven	1:1 ✺
12.12.20	FC Eindhoven - MVV Maastricht	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTLTW
- NEC Nijmegen
Dutch KNVB Beker
21.01.21	NEC Nijmegen - Fortuna Sittard	3:2 ET ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.01.21	NEC Nijmegen - Cambuur	0:0 ✺
08.01.21	NEC Nijmegen - Excelsior	3:2 ✺
03.01.21	Telstar - NEC Nijmegen	5:2 ✺
19.12.20	NEC Nijmegen - FC Oss	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.10.20	NEC Nijmegen - FC Eindhoven	6:0
20.12.19	FC Eindhoven - NEC Nijmegen	1:4
09.08.19	NEC Nijmegen - FC Eindhoven	1:2
13.01.19	FC Eindhoven - NEC Nijmegen	3:2
12.10.18	NEC Nijmegen - FC Eindhoven	0:1
30.03.18	FC Eindhoven - NEC Nijmegen	3:2
01.09.17	NEC Nijmegen - FC Eindhoven	2:1

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