The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
NEC Nijmegen 59.6%
Draw 24.1%
Cambuur 16.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.9%
23.5%
18.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.1%
22.6%
17.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Cambuur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60.9%
17.4%
21.7%
NEC Nijmegen - Cambuur Predictions
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 14 - 60.9%). Cambuur will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 41% – 80.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
Nijmegen has the most likely position - 9 (16.57%), has project points - 42, has currently - 23, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Cambuur has the most likely position - 18 (60.49%), has project points - 23, has currently - 12, has a good chance of relegated (91%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality40, small importance17, small match rating29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Nijmegen won 3.
The competitors look crappy now.
Nijmegen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Nijmegen is a favorite.
There will not play in Cambuur: Jacobs Ja.
(Injury)
Mac-Intosch C.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Nijmegen: Bruijn J.
(Knee Injury)
Mattsson M.
(Injury)
Roefs R.
(Injury)
Sandler P.
(Illness)
de Wolf M.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Cambuur: Gullit M.
(Knee Injury)
Maulun R.
(Injury)
Last 16 head-to-head matches Nijmegen won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19-21.
Including matches at home between the teams Nijmegen won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-10.
Netherlands
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