Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 14

Date: 8 November 2024, Friday

Location: Van Donge & De Roo Stadion (Rotterdam)

Referee: Martens R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN Extra


	Excelsior		FC Eindhoven

	1	X	2
	1.42	5.25	6	Watch
	1.4	4.6	6.25
	1.42	5	6.5	Watch
	1.42	4.98	7.02
	1.44	4.71	6.25	Watch
	1.36	4.6	6.5
	1.44	4.75	6.23	Watch
	1.42	5	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.43)	4.86 ↑ (4.84)	6.41 ↑ (6.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior
66.1%

Draw
19.3%

FC Eindhoven
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

19.4%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

18.4%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

FC Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Excelsior - FC Eindhoven Predictions

Users Predictions: Excelsior will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Raatsie C. (G) 2. Bronkhorst I. 5. Widell C. (C) 3. Pierie K. 12. Zagre A. 24. Eijgenraam J. 20. Hartjes L. 30. Sanches Fernandes D. 15. Naujoks N. 7. Fini S. 9. Omorowa R.	26. Brondeel J. (G) 99. Persyn T. 18. Limouri F. 33. Seedorf C. 25. Douglas T. 6. Dorenbosch D. 15. Huisman D. 7. Blummel S. 27. El Bouchataoui A. 11. Sleegers J. 10. van Schuppen B.
Substitutes
33. Bergraaf J. 22. de Almeida Reis J. 32. de Moes S. 21. Donkor J. 40. Holla T. (G) 18. Loeffen S. 34. Seymor S. 29. van Duinen M. 4. Warmerdam D.	1. Borgmans J. (G) 30. Fancito D. N. (G) 43. Kwaaitaal J. 21. Muller T. 34. Simons T. 29. Smulders L. 24. van Aarle S. 3. Vandendaele M. 19. van Eijndhoven R. 20. Verheij L.
Coaches
den Uil R.	Verberne M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
23', Fini S. 🟨,
25', Pierie K. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Hartjes L. ⚽, Fini S. (A),
45+1', 2 - 0, Sanches Fernandes D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Pierie K. 🟨,
64', Sanches Fernandes D. ↓, Donkor J. ↑,
64', Fini S. ↓, de Moes S. ↑,
64', Zagre A. ↓, Seymor S. ↑,
74', Persyn T. ↓, Simons T. ↑,
78', Douglas T. ↓, Verheij L. ↑,
78', Omorowa R. ↓, van Duinen M. ↑,
81', Seedorf C. 🟨,
84', Dorenbosch D. ↓, Vandendaele M. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 1.

Excelsior is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

FC Eindhoven is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Excelsior is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Excelsior: Duijvestijn L. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Excelsior: Pierie K. (Foot Injury)

Our prediction for today's Excelsior to win the game is with odds 1.42.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21:23 (average 1.9:2.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Excelsior won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:13 (average 2.5:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Rotterdam
Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.11.24	Helmond Sport - Excelsior	0:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
29.10.24	Excelsior - VVV-Venlo	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
26.10.24	Excelsior - Cambuur	0:1 ✺
21.10.24	Jong PSV - Excelsior	1:3 ✺
18.10.24	Excelsior - MVV Maastricht	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLWW
- FC Eindhoven
Dutch Eerste Divisie
01.11.24	FC Eindhoven - ADO Den Haag	0:4 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
29.10.24	Rijnvogels - FC Eindhoven	0:7 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
25.10.24	Volendam - FC Eindhoven	4:1 ✺
21.10.24	Cambuur - FC Eindhoven	2:0 ✺
18.10.24	FC Eindhoven - Emmen	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
07.02.22	FC Eindhoven - Excelsior	4:1
30.10.21	Excelsior - FC Eindhoven	3:4
15.01.21	Excelsior - FC Eindhoven	1:0
09.10.20	FC Eindhoven - Excelsior	1:1
28.02.20	FC Eindhoven - Excelsior	3:0
Dutch KNVB Beker
17.12.19	Excelsior - FC Eindhoven	0:2
Dutch Eerste Divisie
08.11.19	Excelsior - FC Eindhoven	5:4

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