Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 29

Date: 17 March 2023, Friday

Location: Frans Heesen Stadion (Oss)

Referee: Gansner R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	FC Oss		Heracles Almelo

	1	X	2
	8	5	1.36
	7.25	4.8	1.35
	7.5	4.6	1.38
	5.4	4.3	1.49
	8.85	4.95	1.38
	8	4.4	1.33
	8.1	5.05	1.36	Watch
	7.6	4.9	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.59 ↑ (5.83)	4.75 ↑ (4.35)	1.38 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Oss
12.3%

Draw
19.7%

Heracles Almelo
68%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16%

21.4%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

21%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Oss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Heracles Almelo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Oss than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	0%	78.6%

FC Oss - Heracles Almelo Predictions

Users Predictions: Heracles Almelo will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).

Recent matches Oss is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Heracles is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Heracles is a favorite.

There are questionable in Oss: David T. (Injury) Mathieu J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Heracles: Polley R. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Oss won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Oss won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Oss
Dutch Eerste Divisie
10.03.23	FC Oss - ADO Den Haag	2:3 ✺
06.03.23	Jong Ajax - FC Oss	1:2 ✺
24.02.23	VVV-Venlo - FC Oss	0:1 ✺
24.02.23	FC Oss - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:3 ✺
17.02.23	FC Oss - FC Eindhoven	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 LWWLW
- Heracles Almelo
Dutch Eerste Divisie
10.03.23	Heracles Almelo - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:0 ✺
06.03.23	ADO Den Haag - Heracles Almelo	0:3 ✺
24.02.23	Heracles Almelo - Telstar	7:0 ✺
17.02.23	Heracles Almelo - Willem II	1:1 ✺
13.02.23	MVV Maastricht - Heracles Almelo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
19.11.22	Heracles Almelo - FC Oss	3:0
Club Friendly
21.07.15	Heracles Almelo - FC Oss	2:1

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