The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Heracles Almelo 72.6%
Draw 15.7%
Jong AZ Alkmaar 11.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.1%
18.7%
18.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.5%
17.5%
17.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Heracles Almelo's performance.
Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jong AZ Alkmaar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Heracles Almelo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jong AZ Alkmaar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Heracles Almelo - Jong AZ Alkmaar Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Heracles will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. de Keijzer F. (G) 15. Vicente D. 4. Mirani D. 14. Wrusch M. 25. Manny 32. Scheperman S. (C) 17. van Gilst T. 5. van der Kust D. 7. Abbas C. 27. N'djoli J. 18. Hauswirth M.
1. Zeggen K. (G) 2. Zwart J. 3. Natali A. 4. Menu M. (C) 5. Inge K. 6. Robbemond R. 8. Oerip J. 11. de Wit T. 10. de Wit H. 19. van den Ban Y. 9. Bergraaf J.
Substitutes
2. Benita M. 10. Bruns T. 8. Engels M. 16. Jansink T. (G) 73. Ould Chikh W. 9. Poppler V. 11. Reine-Adelaide J. 23. te Wierik M. 6. Tomic D. 26. van Kaam D. 30. van Oorschot D. 33. Zeevalkink L. (G)
14. Atikallah R. 22. Budko B. 24. Elkjaer F. 15. Esajas J. 23. Homan N. (G) 20. Johannessen T. 16. Ka I. (G) 17. Roede M. 21. Sijbrands J. 18. Simons S. 7. Toppenberg K. 12. van Ouytsel K.
Coaches
Heilmann V.
Peereboom F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Scheperman S. ⚽,
17', Hauswirth M. 🟨,
20', 1 - 1, de Wit H. ⚽, de Wit T. (A),
38', Bergraaf J. 🟨,
43', 1 - 2, de Wit T. ⚽, Zwart J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 2 - 2, N'djoli J. ⚽, Hauswirth M. (A),
56', Manny ↓, Bruns T. ↑,
61', Bergraaf J. ↓, Toppenberg K. ↑,
69', 3 - 2, Scheperman S. ⚽, Bruns T. (A),
75', Scheperman S. ↓, Reine-Adelaide J. ↑,
75', van Gilst T. ↓, te Wierik M. ↑,
80', de Wit H. ↓, Budko B. ↑,
88', de Wit T. ↓, Simons S. ↑,
90', Abbas C. ↓, Engels M. ↑,
90+1', Wrusch M. ↓, Benita M. ↑,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
Heracles has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Jong AZ has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Jong AZ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Heracles is the undeniable favorite.
There will not play in Heracles: Borges Sanches Y.
(Knee Injury)
Bozinovski R.
(Ankle Injury)
We predict that Heracles will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Heracles won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
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de Keijzer F. (G) 
Vicente D. 
Wrusch M. 
Manny 
van der Kust D. 
Abbas C. 
Natali A. 
Poppler V. 
Budko B. 
Elkjaer F. 
Johannessen T. 
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