Match Info

Taça de Portugal - 1/32-finals

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe (Fafe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Fafe		Moreirense

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.2	1.75
	4.01	3.66	1.82
	4.16	3.02	1.94	Watch
	4.1	3.54	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↓ (5.24)	3.36 ↓ (4.03)	1.84 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fafe
22.4%

Draw
27.4%

Moreirense
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

22.9%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

20.8%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fafe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moreirense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fafe than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Fafe - Moreirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fafe will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Moreirense will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Joao Goncalo (G) 85. Castro D. 26. Batista J. 4. Teixeira L. 13. Vigario J. 35. Cardoso F. (C) 20. Amorim J. 60. Ribeiro Oliveira J. 7. Veiga T. 95. Fonseca T. 77. Carlos Daniel	13. Ferreira A. (G) 76. Pinto D. 26. Maracas 44. Marcelo (C) 17. Martinez A. 20. Bernardo 25. Assis A. 7. Teguia C. 11. Alanzinho 2. Travassos 99. Yan Maranhao
Substitutes
15. Breno 1. Damaso N. (G) 21. Davis SIlva 10. Ka 19. Leal J. 11. Picas 78. Pinto G. 9. Santos J. 70. Teixeira T.	66. Batista G. 30. Gower J. 19. Jorquera Romero J. 27. Kiko 78. Landerson 3. Michel 16. Mika (G) 21. Rodri 8. Stjepanovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Bernardo 🟨,
41', Bernardo ↓, Rodri ↑,
41', Fonseca T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
67', 1 - 0, Batista J. ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

Fafe is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Moreirense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Fafe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Moreirense is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Fafe
Portuguese Liga 3
10.10.25	Fafe - Amarante	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Fafe - São João de Ver	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Varzim - Fafe	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Oriental - Fafe	0:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
13.09.25	Trofense - Fafe	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWTWL
- Moreirense FC
Liga Portugal
04.10.25	Nacional - Moreirense	3:2 ✺
27.09.25	Moreirense - Casa Pia	2:1 ✺
22.09.25	Sporting Lisbon - Moreirense	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Moreirense - Rio Ave	3:1 ✺
29.08.25	Gil Vicente - Moreirense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLWL

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