Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 30

Date: 7 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Shiranami Stadium (Kagoshima)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kagoshima United		Iwaki

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2.2	Watch
	2.8	3.25	2.2
	2.95	3.4	2.25	Watch
	3.13	3.65	2.36
	2.96	3.42	2.3	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.2
	2.96	3.38	2.25	Watch
	2.95	3.4	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (3.18)	3.41 ↓ (3.48)	2.25 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kagoshima United
31.5%

Draw
27.2%

Iwaki
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

26.7%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

26.2%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kagoshima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Iwaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Kagoshima United - Iwaki Predictions

Users Predictions: Iwaki will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Izumori R. (G) 17. Hoshi K. 4. Hirose K. 23. Okamoto S. 6. Watanabe E. 8. Fujimura K. 27. Yamaguchi T. 46. Take S. 34. Suzuki S. 32. Numata T. 38. Arita R.	21. Tachikawa K. (G) 34. Omori R. 27. Dohana K. 2. Ishida Y. 40. Shimoda Y. 15. Kase N. 7. Nishikawa J. 14. Yamaguchi D. 24. Yamashita Y. 10. Arima K. 17. Tanimura K.
Substitutes
9. Arita K. 20. Endo M. 10. Fujimoto N. 5. Ibayashi A. 16. Kawano R. 13. Matsuyama K. (G) 35. Nakahara S.	11. Buwanika K. 32. Igarashi S. 38. Kumata N. 6. Sakagishi K. 8. Shibata S. 28. Tanada R. 1. Tanaka K. (G)
Coaches
Asano T.	Tamura Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
30', 0 - 1, Nishikawa J. ⚽, Arima K. (A),
38', Arita R. ↓, Fujimoto N. ↑,
39', 0 - 2, Tanimura K. ⚽, Yamashita Y. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Kase N. ↓, Igarashi S. ↑,
58', 0 - 3, Tanimura K. ⚽, Yamashita Y. (A),
62', Numata T. ↓, Endo M. ↑,
62', Take S. ↓, Kawano R. ↑,
69', Nishikawa J. ↓, Kumata N. ↑,
70', Yamaguchi D. ↓, Shibata S. ↑,
78', Watanabe E. ↓, Arita K. ↑,
78', Hirose K. ↓, Ibayashi A. ↑,
79', Tanimura K. ↓, Buwanika K. ↑,
79', Shimoda Y. ↓, Sakagishi K. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 3, Fujimoto N. ⚽, Suzuki S. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 8).

Kagoshima United has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Iwaki is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Iwaki to win the game is with odds 2.26.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Kagoshima United won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Kagoshima United won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kagoshima United
Japan J2 League
31.08.24	Ventforet Kofu - Kagoshima United	1:0 ✺
24.08.24	Kagoshima United - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Vegalta Sendai - Kagoshima United	1:0 ✺
11.08.24	Blaublitz Akita - Kagoshima United	2:0 ✺
03.08.24	Kagoshima United - Fujieda MYFC	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Iwaki FC
Japan J2 League
31.08.24	Vegalta Sendai - Iwaki	2:0 ✺
25.08.24	Iwaki - Roasso Kumamoto	3:4 ✺
17.08.24	JEF United Chiba - Iwaki	0:3 ✺
10.08.24	Iwaki - Ehime	2:1 ✺
04.08.24	Iwaki - Blaublitz Akita	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
09.03.24	Iwaki - Kagoshima United	3:1
Japan J3 League
06.11.22	Iwaki - Kagoshima United	3:0
12.03.22	Kagoshima United - Iwaki	1:1

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