Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 25

Date: 3 August 2024, Saturday

Location: City Light Stadium (Okayama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Fagiano Okayama		Montedio Yamagata

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3.2	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3
	2.15	3.3	3.2	Watch
	2.23	3.48	3.37
	2.15	3.38	3.28	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3
	2.13	3.4	3.17	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.18)	3.35 ↑ (3.34)	3.18 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fagiano Okayama
43.2%

Draw
27.7%

Montedio Yamagata
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

27.7%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

26.6%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Montedio Yamagata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Fagiano Okayama - Montedio Yamagata Predictions

Users Predictions: Fagiano Okayama will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Brodersen S. (G) 4. Abe K. 18. Tagami D. 43. Suzuki Y. 88. Yanagi T. 6. Wakasa Y. 7. Takeuchi R. 23. Saga R. 10. Tanaka Y. 19. Iwabuchi H. 22. Ichimi K.	1. Goto M. (G) 19. Okamoto K. 4. Nishimura K. 5. Abe T. 15. Kawai A. 7. Takae L. 8. Konishi Y. 88. Doi S. 42. Issaka Z. 90. Disaro A. S. 10. Kida R.
Substitutes
33. Kamiya Yuta 21. Kawakami K. (G) 27. Kimura T. 15. Motoyama H. 29. Saito K. 42. Takahashi R. 5. Yanagi Y.	23. Fujishima E. (G) 41. Goto Y. 25. Kokubu S. 18. Minami S. 36. Takahashi J. 24. Yokoyama R. 2. Yoshida T.
Coaches
Kiyama T.	Watanabe S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Doi S. 🟨,
28', Abe T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Tanaka Y. ↓, Kimura T. ↑,
50', Tagami D. 🟨,
53', 1 - 0, Suzuki Y. ⚽,
57', 1 - 1, Doi S. ⚽, Issaka Z. (A),
60', Kida R. ↓, Kokubu S. ↑,
60', Doi S. ↓, Goto Y. ↑,
67', Tagami D. ↓, Yanagi Y. ↑,
71', Konishi Y. ↓, Minami S. ↑,
71', Disaro A. S. ↓, Takahashi J. ↑,
74', Iwabuchi H. ↓, Kamiya Yuta ↑,
74', Yanagi T. ↓, Takahashi R. ↑,
85', Issaka Z. ↓, Yokoyama R. ↑,
85', Takeuchi R. ↓, Motoyama H. ↑,
87', Motoyama H. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Okayama won 2.

Okayama is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Montedio Yamagata is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Okayama will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Okayama won 10 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Okayama won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fagiano Okayama
Japan J2 League
14.07.24	Tochigi - Fagiano Okayama	1:1 ✺
06.07.24	Fagiano Okayama - Vegalta Sendai	2:0 ✺
30.06.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Fagiano Okayama	3:1 ✺
22.06.24	Fagiano Okayama - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:0 ✺
16.06.24	Roasso Kumamoto - Fagiano Okayama	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWLWW
- Montedio Yamagata
Japan J2 League
14.07.24	Montedio Yamagata - Iwaki	1:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
10.07.24	Consadole Sapporo - Montedio Yamagata	6:3 ✺
Japan J2 League
06.07.24	Montedio Yamagata - Tochigi	1:0 ✺
30.06.24	Blaublitz Akita - Montedio Yamagata	0:3 ✺
22.06.24	Montedio Yamagata - Vegalta Sendai	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
03.05.24	Montedio Yamagata - Fagiano Okayama	2:2
16.09.23	Montedio Yamagata - Fagiano Okayama	2:0
03.05.23	Fagiano Okayama - Montedio Yamagata	2:0
Japan J1 League
30.10.22	Fagiano Okayama - Montedio Yamagata	0:3
Japan J2 League
10.09.22	Fagiano Okayama - Montedio Yamagata	2:1
31.08.22	Montedio Yamagata - Fagiano Okayama	0:2
03.04.22	Montedio Yamagata - Fagiano Okayama	0:1

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