Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 24

Date: 14 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Kanseki Stadium Tochigi (Utsunomiya)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tochigi		Fagiano Okayama

	1	X	2
	4	3.5	1.9	Watch
	3.7	3.2	1.87
	3.75	3.4	1.95	Watch
	4.15	3.54	2
	3.92	3.36	1.95	Watch
	3.7	3.25	1.91
	3.77	3.42	1.92	Watch
	3.9	3.35	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↓ (4.18)	3.38 ↓ (3.43)	1.93 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tochigi
24.1%

Draw
27.6%

Fagiano Okayama
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

27%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

26.6%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tochigi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Tochigi - Fagiano Okayama Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tochigi will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Okayama will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Tanno K. (G) 23. Fukushima H. 2. Hiramatsu W. 33. Rafael Costa 10. Mori T. 15. Okuda K. 22. Aoshima T. 18. Kawana R. 42. Minamino H. 19. Oshima K. 32. Miyazaki K.	49. Brodersen S. (G) 4. Abe K. 18. Tagami D. 43. Suzuki Y. 88. Yanagi T. 24. Fujita I. 7. Takeuchi R. 42. Takahashi R. 39. Hayakawa J. 10. Tanaka Y. 19. Iwabuchi H.
Substitutes
14. Dohi K. 9. Ismaila O. 1. Kawata S. (G) 38. Kobori S. 6. Omori S. 13. Saka K. 29. Yano K.	13. Kanayama J. (G) 27. Kimura T. 15. Motoyama H. 23. Saga R. 29. Saito K. 6. Wakasa Y. 5. Yanagi Y.
Coaches
Kobayashi S.	Kiyama T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
32', 1 - 0, Aoshima T. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Hayakawa J. ⚽, Takahashi R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Hayakawa J. ↓, Kimura T. ↑,
57', Tagami D. ↓, Yanagi Y. ↑,
67', Minamino H. ↓, Saka K. ↑,
73', Takahashi R. ↓, Saito K. ↑,
73', Tanaka Y. ↓, Saga R. ↑,
76', Oshima K. ↓, Yano K. ↑,
76', Miyazaki K. ↓, Kobori S. ↑,
81', Mori T. ↓, Omori S. ↑,
81', Aoshima T. ↓, Dohi K. ↑,
86', Iwabuchi H. ↓, Motoyama H. ↑,
90+2', Saito K. ↓, Wakasa Y. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tochigi won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Okayama could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Tochigi have a series of guest games.

In this match Okayama is a favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Tochigi won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 17-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Tochigi won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tochigi SC
Japan J2 League
06.07.24	Montedio Yamagata - Tochigi	1:0 ✺
29.06.24	Vegalta Sendai - Tochigi	3:2 ✺
22.06.24	Tochigi - JEF United Chiba	2:1 ✺
16.06.24	Oita Trinita - Tochigi	0:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
12.06.24	Fujieda MYFC - Tochigi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LLWWL
- Fagiano Okayama
Japan J2 League
06.07.24	Fagiano Okayama - Vegalta Sendai	2:0 ✺
30.06.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Fagiano Okayama	3:1 ✺
22.06.24	Fagiano Okayama - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:0 ✺
16.06.24	Roasso Kumamoto - Fagiano Okayama	0:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
12.06.24	Fagiano Okayama - Ehime	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
24.02.24	Fagiano Okayama - Tochigi	3:0
29.10.23	Fagiano Okayama - Tochigi	1:1
28.05.23	Tochigi - Fagiano Okayama	2:1
17.07.22	Fagiano Okayama - Tochigi	0:0
Japan Emperors Cup
01.06.22	Fagiano Okayama - Tochigi	0:1
Japan J2 League
05.03.22	Tochigi - Fagiano Okayama	0:1
11.09.21	Fagiano Okayama - Tochigi	0:1

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