The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spartak Moscow 73.2%
Draw 16.9%
Fakel 9.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.9%
20.2%
9.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
73.5%
19.2%
9.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Spartak Moscow - Fakel Predictions
Users Predictions:
Spartak Moscow will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
98. Maksimenko A. (G) 97. Denisov D. 4. Djiku A. 6. Babic S. 19. Daku M. 18. Umyarov N. 47. Zobnin R. (C) 7. Solari P. 83. Fernandes G. 10. Marquinhos 9. Ugalde M.
1. Frolkin D. (G) 5. Gabaraev A. 40. Clayton Sampaio 53. Bardachev M. 17. Kovalev A. 52. Netfullin R. (C) 23. Yakimov V. 55. Todorovic D. 7. Turishchev M. 90. Koksharov A. 97. Magomedov B.
Substitutes
5. Barco E. 27. Dmitriev I. 56. Dovbnya A. (G) 24. Massalyga N. 33. Parada V. 62. Polekh P. 1. Pomazun I. (G) 25. Prutsev D. 17. Saus V. 40. Sorokin I.
10. Alshin I. 8. Bagamaev A. 35. Dorovskikh V. (G) 22. El Mhassani H. 99. Giorgobiani N. 9. Gnapi Dable A. 96. Obukhov I. (G) 19. Pusi B. 11. Sutormin A. 20. Yurganov I. 44. Zhuravlev Y.
Coaches
Carcedo J. C.
Vasilenko O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Turishchev M. ↓, El Mhassani H. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Bardachev M. 🟨,
61', Daku M. ↓, Barco E. ↑,
61', Marquinhos ↓, Dmitriev I. ↑,
64', Koksharov A. ↓, Giorgobiani N. ↑,
64', Kovalev A. ↓, Pusi B. ↑,
66', Gabaraev A. 🟨,
66', Bardachev M. 🟨,
75', Denisov D. ↓, Prutsev D. ↑,
79', Magomedov B. ↓, Gnapi Dable A. ↑,
79', Todorovic D. ↓, Zhuravlev Y. ↑,
86', Giorgobiani N. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 0, Ugalde M. ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak M won 2.
Spartak M is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Fakel is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Fakel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
In this match, Spartak M is the undeniable favorite.
There will not play in Spartak M: Litvinov R.
(Inactive)
Wooh C.
(Yellow Cards)
Zorin D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Fakel: Alshin I.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Spartak M: Martins C.
(Inactive)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Spartak M won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Spartak M won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).
Asia
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Russia
Serbia
Watch
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Maksimenko A. (G) 
Djiku A. 
Babic S. 
Daku M. 
Solari P. 
Fernandes G. 
Marquinhos 
Ugalde M. 
Kovalev A. 
Todorovic D. 
Parada V. 
El Mhassani H. 
Gnapi Dable A. 
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