Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 16

Date: 7 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Famalicao (Vila Nova de Famalicao)

Referee: Soares Dias A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Famalicão		Chaves

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.75	5.5	Watch
	1.66	3.6	5.25	Watch
	1.68	3.75	5	Watch
	1.69	3.78	5.7
	1.69	3.78	5.7
	1.6	3.7	5	Watch
	1.68	3.82	5.2	Watch
	1.66	3.75	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.84)	3.74 ↑ (3.61)	5.34 ↑ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Famalicão
56.9%

Draw
25.3%

Chaves
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

26.1%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

25.7%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Famalicão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Famalicão's performance.

Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	1.9%	9.3%

Famalicão - Chaves Predictions

Users Predictions: Famalicão will win (48 of 54 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.51% – 97.27%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Junior Reis (G) 22. Nathan 4. Mihaj E. 16. De Haas J. 74. Moura F. (C) 28. Youssouf Z. 8. Topic M. 95. Fonseca T. 20. Sa G. 10. Chiquinho 29. Cadiz J.	1. Hugo Souza (G) 77. Araujo Correia J. P. (C) 28. Nwakali K. 19. Vitoria S. 4. Bruno Rodrigues 33. Cruz S. 7. Benny 6. Phete T. 70. Morim H. 20. Ribeiro R. 23. Hernandez H.
Substitutes
32. Aguirregabiria M. 9. Araujo H. 23. Dobre A. 6. Lacoux T. 18. Liimatta O. 13. Otavio 15. Riccieli 17. Rodrigues A. O. 1. Zlobin I. (G)	11. Abass I. 27. Carraca 99. Jo 9. Paulo Victor 8. Pedro J. 18. Pinho P. 30. Pinto G. (G) 44. Queiros J. 10. Sanca L.
Coaches
Sousa J. P.	Morgado L.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

In this match Famalicão is a favorite.

There will not play in Famalicão: Assuncao G. A. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Chaves: Pinho P. (Injury) Sylla H. (Injury) Ygor Nogueira (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Famalicão won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Famalicão won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Famalicão
Liga Portugal
29.12.23	Benfica - Famalicão	3:0 ✺
17.12.23	Famalicão - Estoril Praia	1:1 ✺
09.12.23	Portimonense - Famalicão	1:1 ✺
02.12.23	Famalicão - Porto	0:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
25.11.23	Benfica - Famalicão	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTTLL
- Desportivo Chaves
Liga Portugal
29.12.23	Porto - Chaves	1:0 ✺
17.12.23	Chaves - Casa Pia	1:3 ✺
10.12.23	Estoril Praia - Chaves	4:0 ✺
01.12.23	Chaves - Vizela	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Portimonense - Chaves	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
04.08.23	Chaves - Famalicão	0:1
Liga Portugal
08.05.23	Famalicão - Chaves	1:2
30.12.22	Chaves - Famalicão	0:2
Portuguese Liga 2
23.01.16	Famalicão - Chaves	4:3
22.08.15	Chaves - Famalicão	0:0

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