Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Relegation - Final

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio de São Luís (Faro)

Referee: Goncalves J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11, Sport TV1


	Farense		Belenenses

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.6
	1.78	3.25	3.9
	2.05	3.1	3.65
	2.06	3.23	3.77
	2.07	3.12	3.74	Watch
	2	3	3.5
	2.02	3.28	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.01)	3.14 ↓ (3.3)	3.69 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farense
45.9%

Draw
29.2%

Belenenses
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

27.9%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

27%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Belenenses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Farense - Belenenses Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Farense will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Belenenses will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Araujo B. (G) 26. Ruben 29. Claudio Falcao (C) 6. Derick Poloni 78. Alex Pinto 20. Semedo Y. 8. Menino M. 34. Herrero T. 17. Candeias A. 19. Oliveira L. 80. Ndiaye A.	99. Oliveira G. (G) 2. Machado J. 39. Pinto A. 4. Nuno Tomas (C) 15. Lucas J. 20. Paulo D. 21. Morgado T. 17. Horta Leitao D. 14. Afonso A. 23. Bruninho 89. Gastao J.
Substitutes
10. Almeida B. 4. Alysson 9. Carter A. 22. Carvalho M. (G) 7. Costa R. 21. Jaiminho 77. Matias M. 14. Poveda D. 88. Teixeira R.	22. Bandarra M. 13. Cuca 31. David Rebelo 11. Duda 7. Eduardo W. 77. Jansonas R. 37. Joao F. P. C. 28. Pinto G. (G) 5. Teixeira J.
Coaches
Jose Faria	Brandao G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Morgado T. 🟨,
21', Lucas J. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Candeias A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Claudio Falcao 🟨,
64', Semedo Y. ↓, Almeida B. ↑,
64', Oliveira L. ↓, Carter A. ↑,
68', Machado J. ↓, Bandarra M. ↑,
73', Horta Leitao D. ↓, Cuca ↑,
73', Morgado T. ↓, Duda ↑,
76', Candeias A. ↓, Jaiminho ↑,
82', Afonso A. ↓, Teixeira J. ↑,
82', Lucas J. ↓, Eduardo W. ↑,
86', Menino M. ↓, Teixeira R. ↑,
87', Ndiaye A. ↓, Poveda D. ↑,
90+2', Carter A. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Farense is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	SC Farense	6	3	2	1	11:5	6	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Farense
Portuguese Liga 2
17.05.26	Portimonense - Farense	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Farense - Paços de Ferreira	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Leiria - Farense	0:3 ✺
25.04.26	Farense - Académico de Viseu	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Vizela - Farense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LTWTW
- Os Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 3
16.05.26	Belenenses - Mafra	3:1 ✺
10.05.26	Varzim - Belenenses	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Belenenses - União de Santarém	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Amarante - Belenenses	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Académica Coimbra - Belenenses	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWTTL

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