Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 31

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Cidade de Barcelos (Barcelos)

Referee: Correia G. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3


	Gil Vicente		Farense

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	3.2	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.2
	2.55	2.95	3
	2.54	3.01	3.25
	2.56	2.92	3.17	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3.2	Watch
	2.62	3.08	3.08	Watch
	2.55	2.95	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.44)	2.99 ↓ (3.1)	3.14 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gil Vicente
38.2%

Draw
31.6%

Farense
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

30.4%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

30.8%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gil Vicente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Farense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

Gil Vicente - Farense Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Gil Vicente will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gil Vicente: 76.1% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gil Vicente will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. da Silva Ventura A. (G) 2. Ze Carlos (C) 4. Elimbi M. G. 39. Buatu J. 57. Cruz S. 5. Caseres F. 8. Bamba M. A. 33. Marques J. 10. Fujimoto K. 71. Correia F. 9. Aguirre J.	1. Kaique Pereira (G) 28. Pastor 29. Claudio Falcao 5. Ribeiro T. 31. Derick Poloni 20. Rony Lopes 6. Neto (C) 8. Ze Carlos 2. Paulo Victor 9. Tomane 10. Njie Y.
Substitutes
99. Araujo B. (G) 28. Costa D. 19. Garcia S. 18. Joao Teixeira 88. Kazu 77. Mboula J. 45. Mutombo J. 90. Pablo 7. Toure T.	11. Bermejo A. 22. Carvalho M. (G) 19. Costa R. 4. Jorge A. 80. Justo S. 44. Lucas Africo 77. Matias M. 34. Raul Silva 70. Rivaldo
Coaches
Peixoto C.	Marreco T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Neto 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Aguirre J. ↓, Pablo ↑,
71', Njie Y. ↓, Costa R. ↑,
71', Derick Poloni ↓, Bermejo A. ↑,
72', Marques J. ↓, Toure T. ↑,
72', Cruz S. ↓, Mutombo J. ↑,
80', Caseres F. ↓, Joao Teixeira ↑,
80', Elimbi M. G. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
81', Ze Carlos 🟨,
87', Rony Lopes ↓, Matias M. ↑,
87', Ze Carlos ↓, Justo S. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 0, Bamba M. A. ⚽,
90+4', Mutombo J. 🟨,
90+6', Pastor ↓, Raul Silva ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gil Vicente won 2.

Recent matches Gil Vicente is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Farense is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Farense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gil Vicente will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Gil Vicente: Bermejo (Injury)

There will not play in Farense: Balde E. (Inactive) Velho R. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Gil Vicente: Sithole S. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Farense: Moreno M. (Inactive)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Gil Vicente won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Gil Vicente won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gil Vicente
Liga Portugal
19.04.25	Nacional - Gil Vicente	0:3 ✺
11.04.25	Gil Vicente - Vitoria Guimarães	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Gil Vicente - Moreirense	0:1 ✺
01.04.25	Boavista - Gil Vicente	1:3 ✺
28.03.25	Gil Vicente - Benfica	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLWL
- SC Farense
Liga Portugal
18.04.25	Farense - Boavista	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Estrela da Amadora - Farense	0:1 ✺
07.04.25	Farense - Casa Pia	0:0 ✺
02.04.25	Benfica - Farense	3:2 ✺
15.03.25	Farense - Braga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
14.12.24	Farense - Gil Vicente	0:1
12.05.24	Gil Vicente - Farense	2:0
06.01.24	Farense - Gil Vicente	1:0
01.05.21	Gil Vicente - Farense	0:0
10.01.21	Farense - Gil Vicente	3:1
Portuguese Liga 2
14.05.16	Gil Vicente - Farense	2:3
03.01.16	Farense - Gil Vicente	0:2

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