Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 30

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday

Location: Estádio de São Luís (Faro)

Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport


	Farense		Boavista

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	5	Watch
	1.83	3.3	4.4
	1.75	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.76	3.64	5.12
	1.83	3.43	4.75	Watch
	1.83	3.2	4.2	Watch
	1.8	3.65	5.01	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.82)	3.49 ↓ (3.52)	4.75 ↑ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farense
53%

Draw
27.1%

Boavista
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

26.9%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

25.3%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Boavista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	22.2%	33.3%

Farense - Boavista Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Farense will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Boavista will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Farense: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kaique Pereira (G) 28. Pastor 29. Claudio Falcao 5. Ribeiro T. 31. Derick Poloni 20. Rony Lopes 6. Neto (C) 93. Menino M. 2. Paulo Victor 19. Costa R. 9. Tomane	31. Vaclik T. (G) 27. Kakay O. 26. Abascal R. 13. Fogning S. 20. Ferreira F. 8. van Ginkel M. 24. Perez S. (C) 10. Reisinho M. 7. Agra S. 21. Diaby A. 16. Silva J.
Substitutes
11. Bermejo A. 22. Carvalho M. (G) 4. Jorge A. 44. Lucas Africo 77. Matias M. 10. Njie Y. 14. Poveda D. 21. Soares F. 8. Ze Carlos	11. Ariyibi G. 71. Barros J. 1. Cesar (G) 15. Gomes P. 14. Kone M. 5. Lystsov V. 35. Miguel G. 17. Namora M. 19. Vitoria S.
Coaches
Marreco T.	Baxter S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', van Ginkel M. 🟨,
61', Derick Poloni ↓, Matias M. ↑,
61', Menino M. ↓, Soares F. ↑,
61', Costa R. ↓, Njie Y. ↑,
62', Perez S. 🟨,
68', 0 - 1, Silva J. ⚽,
74', Neto ↓, Poveda D. ↑,
74', Ribeiro T. ↓, Bermejo A. ↑,
83', Silva J. ↓, Lystsov V. ↑,
83', van Ginkel M. ↓, Ariyibi G. ↑,
83', Ferreira F. ↓, Vitoria S. ↑,
90+1', Diaby A. ↓, Barros J. ↑,
90+3', Ariyibi G. 🟨,
90+4', Barros J. 🟨,
90+5', Reisinho M. 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Recent matches Farense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Boavista is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Farense is a favorite.

There will not play in Farense: Balde E. (Inactive)

There will not play in Boavista: Bozenik R. (Yellow Cards) Camara I. (Red Card) Joao Goncalves (Knee Injury) Llorente D. (Inactive) Machado T. (Inactive) Moraes Pires L. H. (Knee Injury) Ribeiro M. (Knee Injury) Silva T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Farense: Moreno M. (Inactive)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Farense won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:2 (average 1.8:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Farense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Farense
Liga Portugal
13.04.25	Estrela da Amadora - Farense	0:1 ✺
07.04.25	Farense - Casa Pia	0:0 ✺
02.04.25	Benfica - Farense	3:2 ✺
15.03.25	Farense - Braga	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Estoril Praia - Farense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTLLT
- Boavista FC
Liga Portugal
12.04.25	Boavista - Nacional	0:1 ✺
07.04.25	Rio Ave - Boavista	0:2 ✺
01.04.25	Boavista - Gil Vicente	1:3 ✺
16.03.25	Moreirense - Boavista	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Boavista - Vitoria Guimarães	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
08.12.24	Boavista - Farense	1:1
05.04.24	Farense - Boavista	2:0
12.11.23	Boavista - Farense	1:3
21.03.21	Boavista - Farense	0:1

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