Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 8

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Felgueiras		Atlético CP

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.9	5.5	Watch
	1.47	4	6
	1.47	4.3	6.79
	1.48	4.3	6.79
	1.45	4.05	6.25
	1.48	3.9	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.69)	4.08 ↑ (3.65)	6.16 ↑ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felgueiras
62.5%

Draw
22.5%

Atlético CP
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

25.5%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

25.1%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felgueiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Felgueiras's performance.

Atlético CP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Felgueiras that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético CP than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Pinto B. (G) 21. Cassio L. 23. Ribeiro Sousa Peixoto R. P. (C) 34. Silva A. 29. Banguera E. 77. Andrade D. 7. Ktatau 8. Landinho 30. Feliz 9. Carlos Eduardo 11. Pereira M.	1. Lemos F. (G) 31. Paulinho 6. Costa J. 20. Daniel Almeida (C) 26. Freitas J. 22. Gomes Pinheiro E. 8. Goncalves Ferreira F. G. 9. Balotelli 29. Dinamite D. 21. Morgado T. 95. Marcelo P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Carlos Eduardo ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, Carlos Eduardo ⚽,
45+3', Balotelli 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gomes Pinheiro E. ↓, Pinto P. ↑,
60', Carlos Eduardo ↓, Santos J. ↑,
60', Feliz ↓, Ca L. ↑,
64', Daniel Almeida ↓, Pala F. ↑,
64', Marcelo P. ↓, Silva D. ↑,
68', Landinho ↓, Pereira G. ↑,
76', Goncalves Ferreira F. G. ↓, Jesus J. ↑,
76', Dinamite D. ↓, Horta Leitao D. ↑,
83', Ktatau ↓, Lemos I. M. ↑,
83', Pereira M. ↓, Bruninho ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 4 and 6).

Recent matches Felgueiras is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético CP is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético CP could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Felgueiras is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Felgueiras won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 3
30.03.24	Felgueiras - Covilhã	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	Braga B - Felgueiras	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Felgueiras - Varzim	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Lusitânia - Felgueiras	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Felgueiras - Alverca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLT
- Atlético CP
Portuguese Liga 3
31.03.24	Atlético CP - Braga B	0:2 ✺
17.03.24	Lusitânia - Atlético CP	3:1 ✺
10.03.24	Atlético CP - Académica Coimbra	1:3 ✺
02.03.24	Covilhã - Atlético CP	2:2 ✺
25.02.24	Atlético CP - Varzim	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
10.02.24	Atlético CP - Felgueiras	1:1

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