The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fenerbahçe 59.7%
Draw 21.5%
Olympiacos Piraeus 18.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.9%
26.3%
28.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.1%
26.4%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fenerbahçe's performance.
Olympiacos Piraeus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olympiacos Piraeus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-14.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fenerbahçe that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olympiacos Piraeus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
89.1%
3.4%
7.6%
Fenerbahçe - Olympiacos Piraeus Predictions
Users Predictions:
Fenerbahçe will win
(106 of 119 users predict this - 89.08%). Confidence interval (95%): 83.48% – 94.68%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
40. Livakovic D. (G) 21. Osayi-Samuel B. 6. Djiku A. 50. Rodrigo Becao 7. Kadioglu F. 53. Szymanski S. 5. Yuksek I. 35. Fred 17. Kahveci I. C. 9. Dzeko E. (C) 10. Tadic D.
88. Tzolakis K. (G) 23. Rodinei 74. Ntoi A. 16. Carmo D. 3. Ortega F. 6. Chiquinho 32. Hezze S. 56. Podence D. 22. Jovetic S. 7. Fortounis K. (C) 9. El Kaabi A.
Substitutes
23. Batshuayi M. 19. Bonucci L. 67. Demir D. (G) 90. Dursun M. 70. Egribayat I. C. (G) 11. Kent R. 15. King J. 33. Krunic R. 2. Soyuncu C. 20. Under C. 8. Yandas M. H. 26. Zajc M.
15. Alexandropoulos S. 20. Carvalho J. 11. El Arabi Y. 5. Horta A. 8. Iborra V. 67. Koutsidis I. 19. Masouras G. 99. Papadoudis A. (G) 1. Paschalakis A. (G) 18. Quini 27. Richards O.
Coaches
Kartal I.
Mendilibar J. L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Kahveci I. C. ⚽, Szymanski S. (A),
36', Ortega F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jovetic S. ↓, Iborra V. ↑,
60', Podence D. 🟨,
60', Tzolakis K. 🟨,
64', Podence D. ↓, Masouras G. ↑,
72', Ntoi A. 🟨,
74', Dzeko E. ↓, Batshuayi M. ↑,
86', Fred ↓, Zajc M. ↑,
86', Kahveci I. C. ↓, Under C. ↑,
89', Ortega F. ↓, Richards O. ↑,
90+4', Masouras G. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
94', Szymanski S. 🟨,
97', Mendilibar J. L. 🟨,
100', Rodrigo Becao ↓, Soyuncu C. ↑,
106', Szymanski S. ↓, Krunic R. ↑,
109', Chiquinho ↓, Horta A. ↑,
109', Fortounis K. ↓, El Arabi Y. ↑,
112', Hezze S. 🟨,
120+2', Yuksek I. ↓, Bonucci L. ↑,
120+4', Ntoi A. 🟨,
Penalties (2 - 3)
1, El Kaabi A. (Pen),
1, Tadic D. (Pen),
2, El Arabi Y. (Pen),
2, Batshuayi M. (Pen),
3, Horta A. (Pen),
3, Under C. (Pen),
4, Masouras G. (Pen),
4, Djiku A. (Pen),
5, Rodinei (Pen),
5, Bonucci L. (Pen),
Preview
2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-3.
Recent matches Fenerbahçe is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Olympiacos is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Olympiacos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Fenerbahçe have a series of guest games.
In this match Fenerbahçe is a favorite.
There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Aziz S.
(Injury)
Luan Peres
(Knee Injury)
Muldur M.
(Injury)
Oosterwolde J.
(Knee Injury)
Yandas M. H.
(Groin Injury)
There will not play in Olympiacos: Fadiga B.
(Injury)
Leidner D.
(Knee Injury)
Retsos P.
(Yellow Cards)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Fenerbahçe won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Fenerbahçe won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.
Australia
Austria
Bosnia And Herzegovina
Brazil
Bulgaria
Croatia
Denmark
Finland
Germany
Norway
Poland
Portugal
Serbia
Sweden
Turkey
United Kingdom
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Livakovic D. (G) 
Osayi-Samuel B. 
Djiku A. 
Rodrigo Becao 
Kadioglu F. 
Szymanski S. 
Dzeko E. (C) 
Tadic D. 
Tzolakis K. (G) 
Carmo D. 
Ortega F. 
Chiquinho 
Jovetic S. 
El Kaabi A. 
Batshuayi M. 
Bonucci L. 
Kent R. 
King J. 
Zajc M. 
Iborra V. 
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