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Brighton & Hove Albion vs Roma Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, March 14, 2024)

Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 14 March 2024, Thursday

Location: Amex Stadium (Brighton)

Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event
Italy	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV4
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Brighton & Hove Albion		Roma

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.2	4.5
	1.68	4.1	4.6
	1.72	4.35	4.35	Watch
	1.66	4.38	4.76
	1.67	4.39	4.77
	1.7	4.2	4.4
	1.77	4.26	4.62
	1.72	4.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.9)	4.26 ↑ (4.03)	4.56 ↑ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brighton & Hove Albion
56.5%

Draw
22.5%

Roma
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

24.1%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

23.8%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brighton & Hove Albion's performance.

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brighton & Hove Albion that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	26.9%	19.2%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 28 - 53.8%). Roma will win (votes: 10 - 19.2%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 26.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brighton & Hove: 40.2% – 67.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Verbruggen B. (G) 2. Lamptey T. 29. van Hecke J. P. 5. Dunk L. (C) 30. Estupinan P. 13. Gross P. 11. Gilmour B. 14. Lallana A. 10. Enciso J. 24. Adingra S. 18. Welbeck D.	99. Svilar M. (G) 19. Celik Z. 5. Ndicka E. 23. Mancini G. 37. Spinazzola L. 7. Pellegrini Lo. (C) 52. Bove E. 4. Cristante B. 35. Baldanzi T. 17. Azmoun S. 59. Zalewski N.
Substitutes
47. Baker-Boaitey B. 20. Baleba C. 40. Buonanotte F. 31. Fati A. 28. Ferguson E. 3. Igor 38. McGill T. (G) 15. Moder J. 44. Peupion C. 23. Steele J. (G) 34. Veltman J. 4. Webster A.	69. Angelino 22. Aouar H. 63. Boer P. (G) 67. Costa J. 21. Dybala P. 92. El Shaarawy S. 2. Karsdorp R. 14. Llorente D. 60. Pagano R. 16. Paredes L. 1. Patricio R. (G) 61. Pisilli N.
Coaches
De Zerbi R.	De Rossi D.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-4.

Brighton & Hove is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Roma in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Brighton & Hove is a favorite.

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Hinshelwood J. (Ankle Injury) Joao Pedro (Thigh Injury) March S. (Knee Injury) Milner J. (Knee Injury) Mitoma K. (Back Injury)

There will not play in Roma: Abraham T. (Knee Injury) Lukaku R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Roma: Kristensen R. (Muscle Injury) Sanches R. (Muscle Injury) Smalling C. (Ankle Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Brighton & Hove won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
10.03.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Nottingham Forest	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.03.24	Roma - Brighton & Hove Albion	4:0 ✺
English Premier League
02.03.24	Fulham - Brighton & Hove Albion	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
28.02.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
24.02.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Everton	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLLLT
- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
10.03.24	Fiorentina - Roma	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.03.24	Roma - Brighton & Hove Albion	4:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
02.03.24	Monza - Roma	1:4 ✺
26.02.24	Roma - Torino	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.02.24	Roma - Feyenoord	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
07.03.24	Roma - Brighton & Hove Albion	4:0

Brighton & Hove Albion - Roma: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide