Match Info

Europa League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Groupama Arena (Budapest)

Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport Maximo 360
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, Q Arena Asia, TOD
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Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
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Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
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New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-central-america	Flow Sports 1 Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
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Peru	Disney+, ESPN 5
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Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 5, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	VIX App


	Ferencvárosi		Braga

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.3	2.3
	3.2	3.2	2.42
	3.32	3.22	2.42
	3.27	3.28	2.29	Watch
	3.2	3.1	2.25
	3.43	3.36	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (3)	3.24 ↓ (3.35)	2.32 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferencvárosi
29.3%

Draw
29.5%

Braga
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

28.4%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

28.3%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferencvárosi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.6%	25.7%	65.7%

Ferencvárosi - Braga Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 3 - 8.8%). Braga will win (votes: 22 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 26.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Braga: 48.6% – 80.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Ferencvárosi (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - draw (1.32) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

TQ, OT - Braga (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Braga (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.09) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Braga will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferencvárosi (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Braga (votes: 6 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Grof D. (G) 27. Cisse I. (C) 28. Raemaekers T. 4. Gomez M. 25. Makreckis C. 36. Kanichowsky G. 15. Abu Fani M. 16. Zachariassen K. 47. O'Dowda C. 75. Joseph L. 11. Dele	1. Hornicek L. (G) 14. Lagerbielke G. 4. Niakate S. 26. Arrey-Mbi B. 5. Lelo L. 20. Dorgeles M. 27. Grillitsch F. 8. Moutinho J. 10. Zalazar R. 21. Horta R. (C) 18. Victor P.
Substitutes
20. Cadu 30. Gruber Z. 5. Keita N. 19. Kovacevic F. 10. Levi J. 72. Madarasz A. 77. Nagy B. 66. Romao J. 22. Szalai G. 82. Toth Z. (G) 1. Varga A. (G)	78. Carvalho J. (G) 41. da Rocha Y. 9. El Ouazzani A. 17. Gabriel Moscardo 29. Gorby 77. Martinez G. 11. Merheg S. J. 39. Navarro F. 15. Oliveira P. 50. Rodrigues D. 12. Sa T. (G) 34. Tiknaz D. E.
Coaches
Keane R.	Vicens C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Zachariassen K. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Kanichowsky G. ⚽, Joseph L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Arrey-Mbi B. 🟨,
62', Niakate S. ↓, Gabriel Moscardo ↑,
62', Dorgeles M. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Joseph L. ⚽, Makreckis C. (A),
74', Gabriel Moscardo 🟨,
74', Victor P. ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
74', Moutinho J. ↓, Gorby ↑,
84', Joseph L. ↓, Romao J. ↑,
90', Lelo L. ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
90', Abu Fani M. ↓, Madarasz A. ↑,
90+3', Dele ↓, Kovacevic F. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Ferencvárosi is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Braga is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ferencvárosi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Ferencvárosi: Acolatse E. (Inactive) Corbu M. (Inactive) Gartenmann S. (Injury) Kajan N. (Inactive) Osvath A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Braga: Barisic A. (Muscle Injury) Gomez V. (Yellow Cards) Vitor Carvalho (Injury)

There are questionable in Ferencvárosi: Otvos B. (Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Ferencvaros: 0.78%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Ferencvaros	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferencvárosi TC
Hungarian NB I
08.03.26	Nyíregyháza Spartacus - Ferencvárosi	1:3 ✺
Hungarian Cup
04.03.26	Kazincbarcikai - Ferencvárosi	0:5 ✺
Hungarian NB I
01.03.26	Ferencvárosi - Kazincbarcikai	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.02.26	Ferencvárosi - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:0 ✺
Hungarian NB I
23.02.26	MTK Budapest - Ferencvárosi	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWW
- SC Braga
Liga Portugal
07.03.26	Braga - Sporting Lisbon	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Nacional - Braga	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Braga - Vitoria Guimarães	3:2 ✺
14.02.26	Gil Vicente - Braga	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Braga - Rio Ave	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWWLW

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