Match Info

Europa League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Groupama Arena (Budapest) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport Maximo 360
Argentina	17:00	Disney+
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, Q Arena Asia, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 5
Bolivia	16:00	ESPN 5
Canada	16:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	17:00	ESPN 5
Colombia	15:00	ESPN 5
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Ecuador	15:00	ESPN 5
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 5, CANAL+ Sport
Germany	21:00	RTL+
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	21:00	M4 Sport
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	22:00	Sport 2
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 4
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mongolia	04:00	Premier Sports 4
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Central America	—	Flow Sports 1 Caribbean
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Pakistan	01:00	Tapmad
Paraguay	17:00	ESPN 5
Peru	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 5
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	04:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport Variety 3
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 11, Blue Sport 11
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, True ID, True Premier Football 3
Turkey	23:00	Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 5
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	16:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, ESPN 5, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus
International	20:00	VIX App


	Ferencvárosi		Braga

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.3	2.3
	3.2	3.2	2.42
	3.32	3.22	2.42
	3.27	3.28	2.29	Watch
	3.2	3.1	2.25
	3.43	3.36	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (3)	3.24 ↓ (3.35)	2.32 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferencvárosi
29.3%

Draw
29.5%

Braga
41.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.7%

28.4%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

28.3%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferencvárosi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.6%	25.7%	65.7%

Ferencvárosi - Braga Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 3 - 8.8%). Braga will win (votes: 22 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 26.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Braga: 48.6% – 80.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Ferencvárosi (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - draw (1.32) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

TQ, OT - Braga (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Braga (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.09) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Braga will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferencvárosi (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Braga (votes: 6 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Grof D. (G) 27. Cisse I. (C) 28. Raemaekers T. 4. Gomez M. 25. Makreckis C. 36. Kanichowsky G. 15. Abu Fani M. 16. Zachariassen K. 47. O'Dowda C. 75. Joseph L. 11. Dele	1. Hornicek L. (G) 14. Lagerbielke G. 4. Niakate S. 26. Arrey-Mbi B. 5. Lelo L. 20. Dorgeles M. 27. Grillitsch F. 8. Moutinho J. 10. Zalazar R. 21. Horta R. (C) 18. Victor P.
Substitutes
20. Cadu 30. Gruber Z. 5. Keita N. 19. Kovacevic F. 10. Levi J. 72. Madarasz A. 77. Nagy B. 66. Romao J. 22. Szalai G. 82. Toth Z. (G) 1. Varga A. (G)	78. Carvalho J. (G) 41. da Rocha Y. 9. El Ouazzani A. 17. Gabriel Moscardo 29. Gorby 77. Martinez G. 11. Merheg S. J. 39. Navarro F. 15. Oliveira P. 50. Rodrigues D. 12. Sa T. (G) 34. Tiknaz D. E.
Coaches
Keane R.	Vicens C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Zachariassen K. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Kanichowsky G. ⚽, Joseph L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Arrey-Mbi B. 🟨,
62', Niakate S. ↓, Gabriel Moscardo ↑,
62', Dorgeles M. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Joseph L. ⚽, Makreckis C. (A),
74', Gabriel Moscardo 🟨,
74', Victor P. ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
74', Moutinho J. ↓, Gorby ↑,
84', Joseph L. ↓, Romao J. ↑,
90', Lelo L. ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
90', Abu Fani M. ↓, Madarasz A. ↑,
90+3', Dele ↓, Kovacevic F. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Ferencvárosi is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Braga is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ferencvárosi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Ferencvárosi: Acolatse E. (Inactive) Corbu M. (Inactive) Gartenmann S. (Injury) Kajan N. (Inactive) Osvath A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Braga: Barisic A. (Muscle Injury) Gomez V. (Yellow Cards) Vitor Carvalho (Injury)

There are questionable in Ferencvárosi: Otvos B. (Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ferencvaros	3	3	0	0	9:3	6	9

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Ferencvaros: 1.49%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferencvárosi TC
Hungarian NB I
08.03.26	Nyíregyháza Spartacus - Ferencvárosi	1:3 ✺
Hungarian Cup
04.03.26	Kazincbarcikai - Ferencvárosi	0:5 ✺
Hungarian NB I
01.03.26	Ferencvárosi - Kazincbarcikai	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.02.26	Ferencvárosi - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:0 ✺
Hungarian NB I
23.02.26	MTK Budapest - Ferencvárosi	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWW
- SC Braga
Liga Portugal
07.03.26	Braga - Sporting Lisbon	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Nacional - Braga	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Braga - Vitoria Guimarães	3:2 ✺
14.02.26	Gil Vicente - Braga	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Braga - Rio Ave	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWWLW

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