Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 14 December 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV6
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Ferencvárosi		Fiorentina

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.8	2.5
	3.2	2.8	2.35
	3.1	3	2.45	Watch
	3.35	2.96	2.52
	3.35	2.95	2.53
	3.3	3.2	2.2
	3.36	2.72	2.52
	3.35	2.9	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (2.55)	2.92 ↓ (3.45)	2.44 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferencvárosi
28.8%

Draw
32.4%

Fiorentina
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

26.8%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

26.8%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferencvárosi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferencvárosi's form might have worsened.

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferencvárosi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.3%	65.5%	24.1%

Ferencvárosi - Fiorentina Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 6 - 10.3%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 14 - 24.1%). It will Tie (votes: 38 - 65.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 53.3% – 77.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Dibusz D. (C) 25. Makreckis C. 27. Cisse I. 44. Aaneba I. 17. Civic E. 15. Abu Fani M. 13. Esiti A. 55. Katona B. 16. Zachariassen K. 50. Marquinhos 19. Varga B.	53. Christensen O. (G) 33. Kayode M. 16. Ranieri L. 4. Milenkovic N. (C) 65. Parisi F. 38. Mandragora R. 8. Lopez M. 10. Gonzalez N. 72. Barak A. 77. Brekalo J. 9. Beltran L.
Substitutes
7. Ben Romdhane M. 5. Besic M. 21. Botka E. 76. Lisztes K. 11. Owusu 23. Paszka L. 72. Pesic A. 63. Radnoti D. (G) 18. Siger D. 1. Varga A. (G)	73. Amatucci L. 37. Comuzzo P. 11. Ikone J. 19. Infantino G. 99. Kouame C. 28. Martinez Quarta L. 26. Mina Y. 18. Nzola M. 70. Pierozzi N. 1. Terracciano P. (G) 40. Vannucchi T. (G)
Coaches
Stankovic D.	Italiano V.

Preview

Recent matches Ferencvárosi is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fiorentina is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Ferencvárosi have a series of guest games.

Fiorentina will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Ferencvárosi: Barath P. (Inactive) Gojak A. (Inactive) Halmai A. (Knee Injury) Nguen T. C. (Inactive)

There will not play in Fiorentina: Arthur Melo (Injury) Biraghi C. (Yellow Cards) Bonaventura G. (Injury) Castrovilli G. (Knee Injury) Dodo (Knee Injury) Sottil R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Ferencvárosi: Botka E. (Injury) Ramirez C. (Injury) Wingo H. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ferencvárosi won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferencvárosi TC
Hungarian NB I
10.12.23	Paksi SE - Ferencvárosi	3:2 ✺
06.12.23	Mezőkövesd-Zsóry - Ferencvárosi	0:2 ✺
03.12.23	Ferencvárosi - Mezőkövesd-Zsóry	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.11.23	Čukarički - Ferencvárosi	1:2 ✺
Hungarian NB I
26.11.23	Puskás Academy - Ferencvárosi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWTWT
- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
10.12.23	Roma - Fiorentina	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
06.12.23	Fiorentina - Parma	3:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
03.12.23	Fiorentina - Salernitana	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.11.23	Fiorentina - Genk	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
25.11.23	Milan - Fiorentina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
05.10.23	Fiorentina - Ferencvárosi	2:2

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