Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 14

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Finland	MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports Max
Hungary	Sport 2
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	CMore Fotboll
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Fiorentina		Salernitana

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.75	7.5	Watch
	1.43	4.5	7.5
	1.41	4.65	7.8	Watch
	1.44	4.76	8.19
	1.43	4.78	7.95
	1.4	4.5	7
	1.43	4.65	7.7	Watch
	1.45	4.8	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.45)	4.67 ↓ (4.67)	7.61 ↑ (6.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina
67%

Draw
20.5%

Salernitana
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

20.3%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

19.7%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	4.4%	8.9%

Fiorentina - Salernitana Predictions

Users Predictions: Fiorentina will win (39 of 45 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.74% – 96.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Terracciano P. (G) 33. Kayode M. 4. Milenkovic N. 16. Ranieri L. 3. Biraghi C. (C) 32. Duncan A. 6. Arthur Melo 11. Ikone J. 5. Bonaventura G. 7. Sottil R. 9. Beltran L.	56. Costil B. (G) 5. Daniliuc F. 17. Fazio F. (C) 98. Pirola L. 30. Mazzocchi P. 18. Coulibaly L. 8. Bohinen E. 3. Bradaric D. 87. Candreva A. 20. Kastanos G. 22. Ikwuemesi C.
Substitutes
73. Amatucci L. 72. Barak A. 77. Brekalo J. 53. Christensen O. (G) 10. Gonzalez N. 19. Infantino G. 99. Kouame C. 8. Lopez M. 38. Mandragora R. 28. Martinez Quarta L. 26. Mina Y. 18. Nzola M. 65. Parisi F. 70. Pierozzi N. 40. Vannucchi T. (G)	11. Botheim E. 28. Bronn D. 10. Dia B. 1. Fiorillo V. (G) 23. Gyomber N. 21. Jovane 99. Legowski M. 66. Lovato M. 25. Maggiore G. 7. Martegani A. 65. Salvati G. (G) 6. Sambia J. 9. Simy 33. Tchaouna L.
Coaches
Italiano V.	Inzaghi F.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Fiorentina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fiorentina is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Fiorentina: Castrovilli G. (Knee Injury) Dodo (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Salernitana: Ochoa G. (Shoulder Injury) Tchaouna L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Salernitana: Dia B. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Fiorentina won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.11.23	Fiorentina - Genk	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
25.11.23	Milan - Fiorentina	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Fiorentina - Bologna	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.11.23	Čukarički - Fiorentina	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
05.11.23	Fiorentina - Juventus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWWL
- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie A
25.11.23	Salernitana - Lazio	2:1 ✺
10.11.23	Sassuolo - Salernitana	2:2 ✺
04.11.23	Salernitana - Napoli	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
31.10.23	Salernitana - Sampdoria	4:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
27.10.23	Genoa - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
03.05.23	Salernitana - Fiorentina	3:3
09.11.22	Fiorentina - Salernitana	2:1
24.04.22	Salernitana - Fiorentina	2:1
11.12.21	Fiorentina - Salernitana	4:0

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