Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 4

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Colegiales (Buenos Aires)


	Colegiales		Quilmes

	1	X	2
	2.50	2.65	3.40	Watch
	2.35	2.75	3.25
	2.38	2.68	3.35	Watch
	2.71	2.65	3.39
	2.24	2.74	3.86	Watch
	2.40	2.62	3.40
	2.52	2.67	3.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.19)	2.68 ↓ (2.79)	3.43 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colegiales
38.1%

Draw
34.7%

Quilmes
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

33%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

31.9%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colegiales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colegiales than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colegiales, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	42.9%	28.6%

Colegiales - Quilmes Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Colegiales will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Quilmes will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Di Fulvio E. (G) 4. Malagueno F. 2. Rivero F. 6. Ortiz L. 3. Hanashiro F. 8. Gonzalez L. 5. Marin F. 11. Trinidad E. 7. Albertengo M. 9. Toloza N. 10. Castillo L.	1. Marinelli G. (G) 4. Vallejos M. 2. Rasso I. 6. Kippes A. 3. Ortega T. 8. Yangali J. 5. Bolivar A. 10. Batista A. 11. Vera U. 7. Lavezzi A. 9. Spetale A.
Substitutes
12. Alcorcel A. (G) 15. Baglivo G. L. 14. Chiavetto A. 13. Insua E. 18. Juarez L. 20. Monserrat R. E. 16. Montiel F. 19. Perri T. 17. Zicarelli F.	19. Coronel J. 20. Dominguez A. 18. Fernandez M. 12. Glellel E. (G) 14. Luna S. 16. Martinez R. 17. Mejias T. 15. Postigo J. 13. Romeo L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Toloza N. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 2 - 0, Albertengo M. ⚽,
61', Trinidad E. ↓, Montiel F. ↑,
62', Ortega T. ↓, Romeo L. ↑,
62', Yangali J. ↓, Dominguez A. ↑,
65', Gonzalez L. ↓, Zicarelli F. ↑,
79', Albertengo M. ↓, Juarez L. ↑,
79', Castillo L. ↓, Monserrat R. E. ↑,
79', Toloza N. ↓, Insua E. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Bolivar A. ⚽,
85', Vera U. ↓, Mejias T. ↑,
90', Vallejos M. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 1, Monserrat R. E. ⚽, Juarez L. (A),

Preview

Federation decision.

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Colegiales will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Colegiales won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Colegiales won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Quilmes - the odds 3.68 are the expected chance of winning is 25.04%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Colegiales
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.06.26	Colegiales - San Martín de Tucumán	2:0 ✺
06.06.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Colegiales	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Colegiales - Agropecuario Argentino	0:0 ✺
23.05.26	Tristán Suárez - Colegiales	0:0 ✺
16.05.26	Colegiales - Güemes	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLTTW
- Quilmes AC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.06.26	Quilmes - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0 ✺
07.06.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Quilmes	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Quilmes - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0 ✺
24.05.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Quilmes	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Quilmes - Tristán Suárez	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.07.25	Colegiales - Quilmes	1:0
26.03.25	Quilmes - Colegiales	1:0

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