Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 35

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium (Buenos Aires) 🌤️ ...


	Ferrocarril Midland		Gimnasia y Tiro

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.4	5.25
	1.65	3.30	5.25
	1.72	3.2	4.8	Watch
	1.73	3.3	6.15
	1.71	3.28	5.7	Watch
	1.67	3.15	6
	1.7	3.13	5.08	Watch
	1.73	3.25	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.92)	3.25 ↑ (3.17)	5.39 ↑ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrocarril Midland
54.5%

Draw
28.4%

Gimnasia y Tiro
17.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.7%

29.5%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

29.5%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferrocarril Midland's performance.

Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferrocarril Midland that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Ferrocarril Midland - Gimnasia y Tiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ferrocarril will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	1. Cosentino F. (G)
	5. Banega T.
	8. Capano J.
	4. Galetto J.
	9. Gordillo L.
	2. Guanini M.
	10. Rinaldi N.
	7. Rocca J.
	11. Rojas F.
	6. Soto G.
	3. Villarreal R.
Substitutes
	16. Aguirre J.
	15. Birge M.
	20. Contin N.
	17. Karabulut F.
	18. Montoya W.
	13. Oviedo J. C.
	12. Papaleo J. (G)
	19. Rodriguez P. A.
	14. Tallura A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', Soto G. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Roseti M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Villarreal R. ↓, Aguirre J. ↑,
46', Rocca J. ↓, Birge M. ↑,
48', 2 - 0, Flores M. ⚽,
67', Flores M. ↓, Frattini M. ↑,
67', Capano J. ↓, Montoya W. ↑,
67', Banega T. ↓, Contin N. ↑,
73', Bulacio D. ↓, Cao R. ↑,
73', Andrada I. ↓, Diaz Laharque L. ↑,
80', Rinaldi N. ↓, Rodriguez P. A. ↑,
87', 3 - 0, Rojas F. (Own goal),
88', Cepeda G. ↓, Camano J. ↑,
88', Leguiza M. ↓, Escobar L. ↑,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Gimnasia y Tiro could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Ferrocarril is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Ferrocarril has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Gimnasia y Tiro - the odds 4.27 are the expected chance of winning is 21.88%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.10.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Ferrocarril Midland	3:2 ✺
10.10.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Atlético de Rafaela	4:0 ✺
04.10.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Ferrocarril Midland	0:0 ✺
27.09.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Tristán Suárez	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Güemes - Ferrocarril Midland	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWTLW
- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.10.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Atlanta Buenos Aires	3:1 ✺
11.10.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:2 ✺
04.10.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.06.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Ferrocarril Midland	1:0

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