Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 1

Date: 29 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Ferrocarril Midland		Villa Dálmine

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.73	3	4.75
				Watch
	1.86	3	4.93
				Watch
	1.67	3.1	5.8
	1.78	3.04	5.22
	1.61	3.54	5.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.62)	3.14 ↓ (3.5)	5.26 ↑ (5.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrocarril Midland
53.2%

Draw
29.3%

Villa Dálmine
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

26%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

24.2%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrocarril Midland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Villa Dálmine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferrocarril Midland, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ferrocarril Midland - Villa Dálmine Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maldonado L. (G) 4. Diaz Laharque L. 2. Castorani P. 6. Meza F. 3. Cataldi F. 8. Frattini M. 5. Violini N. 7. Rogoski M. 11. Molina F. 10. Campana A. I. 9. Vico L.	1. Perafan M. (G) 7. Albano V. 4. Puch M. 2. Pollacchi M. 6. Bojanich G. 3. Ramon E. 8. Prim S. 5. Fernandez J. 11. Resquin M. 10. Ponzo T. 9. Sellecchia F.
Substitutes
16. Abbruzzesse M. 15. Aguilar D. 19. Calabria G. 12. Escobar L. (G) 14. Figueroa R. 17. Gomez G. 20. Goyeneche J. 13. Monzon S. 18. Olivera E.	14. Carlucci V. 18. Forlani S. 15. Gualtieri G. 16. Martinez D. 19. Oro P. 12. Oviedo G. (G) 20. Pumpido F. 17. Solis M. 13. Zalazar D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Vico L. ⚽,
23', Vico L. 🟨,
38', Pollacchi M. 🟨,
41', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Castorani P. ↓, Monzon S. ↑,
49', 2 - 0, Molina F. ⚽,
57', Pollacchi M. ↓, Pumpido F. ↑,
67', Frattini M. ↓, Gomez G. ↑,
67', Campana A. I. ↓, Aguilar D. ↑,
70', Resquin M. ↓, Solis M. ↑,
76', Vico L. ↓, Abbruzzesse M. ↑,
79', Ponzo T. ↓, Oro P. ↑,
81', Rogoski M. ↓, Figueroa R. ↑,

Preview

Ferrocarril is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Villa Dálmine is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ferrocarril may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ferrocarril is considered a favorite.

We predict that Ferrocarril will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ferrocarril won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Ferrocarril won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera B
21.06.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Flandria	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Fénix - Ferrocarril Midland	0:0 ✺
08.06.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Laferrere	2:0 ✺
31.05.25	Liniers - Ferrocarril Midland	0:2 ✺
24.05.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Comunicaciones	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWWW
- Villa Dálmine
Argentinian Primera B
20.06.25	Excursionistas - Villa Dálmine	3:0 ✺
14.06.25	Villa Dálmine - Acassuso	1:2 ✺
07.06.25	Brown de Adrogué - Villa Dálmine	4:1 ✺
31.05.25	Villa Dálmine - Argentino de Merlo	0:2 ✺
24.05.25	Argentino de Quilmes - Villa Dálmine	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
09.02.25	Villa Dálmine - Ferrocarril Midland	0:0
05.07.24	Ferrocarril Midland - Villa Dálmine	1:0
17.02.24	Villa Dálmine - Ferrocarril Midland	1:2

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