Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 27

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal da Malata (Ferrol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Ferrol		Cacereño

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.3	5
	1.72	3.3	4.65
	1.69	3.59	5.07
	1.83	3.41	4.37	Watch
	1.67	3.2	4.6
	1.71	3.42	5.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.74)	3.37 ↑ (3.06)	4.81 ↓ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrol
53.7%

Draw
27.3%

Cacereño
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

29.5%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

29%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Ferrol - Cacereño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Parera P. M. (G) 3. Pujol E. 4. Artetxe M. 16. Garcia S. 17. Ramon A. 7. Alvaro J. 6. Gonzalez F. 14. Tejera S. 5. Noriega J. 9. Escobar A. 20. Gimenez A. (C)	13. Quevedo A. (G) 22. Hernandez E. 21. Alonso J. 2. Martinez Munoz I. 5. de Diego J. 15. Monerris A. 6. Conesa N. 12. Kaptoum W. 24. Valdera R. 20. Palacin P. 9. Gomez D.
Substitutes
19. Azkune E. 12. Chema 18. Concha D. 11. Dacosta R. 25. Diaz L. (G) 13. Fernandez C. G. (G) 24. Garcia A. 8. Gorostidi A. 22. Mardones A. 2. Miguel 10. Pascu 21. Tavares M.	3. Barrio J. 4. Crespo A. 7. Fernandez I. 19. Gomez C. 16. Gutierrez D. 1. Nieves D. (G) 18. Sanchis R. 25. Vazquez K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Noriega J. ⚽,
35', Garcia S. 🟨,
37', Escobar A. 🟨,
45+2', Monerris A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Monerris A. ↓, Fernandez I. ↑,
46', Gomez D. ↓, Sanchis R. ↑,
60', 2 - 0, Gimenez A. ⚽,
62', Escobar A. ↓, Dacosta R. ↑,
63', Conesa N. ↓, Gomez C. ↑,
72', 3 - 0, Dacosta R. ⚽,
75', Kaptoum W. ↓, Vazquez K. ↑,
75', Tejera S. ↓, Gorostidi A. ↑,
75', Noriega J. ↓, Concha D. ↑,
75', Gimenez A. ↓, Tavares M. ↑,
79', Hernandez E. ↓, Barrio J. ↑,
81', Martinez Munoz I. 🟨,
84', 3 - 1, Palacin P. ⚽,
86', Alvaro J. ↓, Miguel ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Ferrol is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cacereño has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ferrol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ferrol is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Ferrol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Cacereno	6	3	2	1	6:3	3	11
8	Racing Club Ferrol	6	3	1	2	7:5	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
28.02.26	Talavera de la Reina - Ferrol	3:1 ✺
20.02.26	Ferrol - Celta de Vigo B	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Tenerife - Ferrol	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Ferrol - Lugo	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Zamora - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LLWTL
- CP Cacereño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
28.02.26	Cacereño - Unionistas de Salamanca	3:3 ✺
22.02.26	Mérida AD - Cacereño	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Cacereño - Pontevedra	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Osasuna B - Cacereño	2:2 ✺
01.02.26	Cacereño - Barakaldo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.12.25	Cacereño - Ferrol	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
27.03.16	Cacereño - Ferrol	0:2
08.11.15	Ferrol - Cacereño	4:1

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