Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 19

Date: 24 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Presidente Vargas (Fortaleza)

Referee: Vieira Monteiro A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Ferroviário Fortaleza		Tombense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.8	2.95	2.3
	2.95	3	2.35	Watch
	3.05	3.1	2.41
	2.99	2.99	2.39	Watch
	2.75	3	2.3
	2.96	2.99	2.36	Watch
	2.95	3	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.7)	3 ↓ (3.15)	2.35 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviário Fortaleza
31.1%

Draw
30.2%

Tombense
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

28.8%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

28%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviário Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Ferroviário Fortaleza - Tombense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Geaze (G) 3. Alisson 99. Ciel (C) 14. Igor Dutra 26. Leo Gobo 7. Marcelinho 23. Mattheus Silva 10. Nicholas 22. Vinicius Alves 2. Wesley 17. Wilker	12. Davi Schneider (G) 35. Anderson Ligeiro 29. Diego Fernandes 13. Iury 7. Jefferson Renan 14. Lucas Oliveira 25. Pedro 22. Rickson 31. Rony Fernandes 34. Tiaguinho 27. Wagner Balotelli
Substitutes
6. Anderson Ceara 1. Carlos Henrique (G) 13. Geilson Souza 25. Kaua I. 27. Kauan da Silva Belarmino F. 9. Kiuan 16. Pulga T. 28. Silva W. 20. Victor Diotti 19. Walter M.	20. Denner 3. Ednei 19. Gustavo Modesto 23. Jean (G) 33. Joao Vitor 8. Kaio Mendes 32. Martins da Silva L. T. 5. Moises Ribeiro 28. Peterson

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Ciel ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Pedro ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
53', 1 - 2, Diego Fernandes ⚽,
55', 2 - 2, Ciel ⚽,
57', 🟨,
58', 3 - 2, Ciel (Pen),
61', Wagner Balotelli ↓, Denner ↑,
61', Lucas Oliveira ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
65', Diego Fernandes ↓, Gustavo Modesto ↑,
67', Leo Gobo 🟨,
77', Jefferson Renan ↓, Peterson ↑,
77', Anderson Ligeiro ↓, Martins da Silva L. T. ↑,
81', Igor Dutra ↓, Geilson Souza ↑,
82', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 3, Peterson ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,
90+4', Leo Gobo 🟨,
90+6', Rickson 🟨,

Preview

Ferroviário is Relegated to Serie D

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Recently Tombense have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ferroviário won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Ferroviário won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferroviário Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie C
17.08.24	Náutico Capibaribe - Ferroviário Fortaleza	4:1 ✺
10.08.24	Caxias - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
05.08.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1 ✺
27.07.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - CS Alagoano	1:1 ✺
22.07.24	Confiança - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLTTT
- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie C
19.08.24	Tombense - Botafogo PB	1:2 ✺
11.08.24	Tombense - CS Alagoano	0:1 ✺
03.08.24	Volta Redonda - Tombense	1:1 ✺
27.07.24	Tombense - Athletic Club	1:1 ✺
20.07.24	Tombense - Figueirense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
21.08.21	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Tombense	0:0
18.06.21	Tombense - Ferroviário Fortaleza	3:0

Ferroviário Fortaleza - Tombense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide