Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday


	Ferroviária		Sousa

	1	X	2
	1.8	2.9	4.5
	1.79	3.01	4.57
	1.78	3.26	4.6
	1.83	3.1	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.81)	3.07 ↓ (3.25)	4.5 ↑ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviária
50.3%

Draw
29.5%

Sousa
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

28.1%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

27%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Ferroviária - Sousa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

During last matches two teams got success in matches and won.

In this match Ferroviária is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Serie D
20.08.23	Anápolis - Ferroviária	0:1 ✺
12.08.23	Ferroviária - Anápolis	1:0 ✺
05.08.23	Hercílio Luz - Ferroviária	2:3 penalties ✺
29.07.23	Ferroviária - Hercílio Luz	1:1 ✺
22.07.23	Operário MS - Ferroviária	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWWTW
- Sousa
Brazilian Serie D
20.08.23	Sousa - Atlético Cearense	2:1 ✺
12.08.23	Atlético Cearense - Sousa	1:2 ✺
06.08.23	Sousa - Falcon	2:1 ✺
29.07.23	Falcon - Sousa	1:1 ✺
23.07.23	Sousa - Globo FC	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWTW

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