Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 27

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: De Kuip (Rotterdam)

Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
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Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Feyenoord		Excelsior

	1	X	2
	1.33	6.25	7	Watch
	1.32	5.4	9.2
	1.33	6.16	8.47
	1.31	5.95	8.33	Watch
	1.3	5	7.5
	1.32	5.8	8.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.27)	5.76 ↑ (5.25)	8.24 ↓ (9.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Feyenoord
72%

Draw
16.5%

Excelsior
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.9%

17.6%

9.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Feyenoord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	18.7%	12.5%

Feyenoord - Excelsior Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Feyenoord will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Excelsior will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Feyenoord: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Feyenoord (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Excelsior (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Excelsior (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Feyenoord (votes: 2 - 50%). Excelsior (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Wellenreuther T. (C) 20. Deijl M. 7. Moder J. 24. Kraaijeveld T. 15. Bos J. 23. Hadj Moussa A. 28. Targhalline O. 10. Valente L. 6. Hwang In-Beom 9. Ueda A. 19. Sterling R.	1. van Gassel S. (G) 2. Bronkhorst I. 4. Widell C. (C) 14. Schouten L. 12. Zagre A. 10. Naujoks N. 20. Hartjes L. 23. Yegoian I. 30. Sanches Fernandes D. 33. Bergraaf J. 11. de Regt G.
Substitutes
72. Agboluaje H. 13. Benda S. (G) 11. Borges G. 39. Bossin L. (G) 27. Diarra G. 30. Lotomba J. 2. Nieuwkoop B. 32. Sliti A. 17. Tengstedt C. 44. van den Elshout T.	24. Cairo G. 6. Carlen A. 7. Hansson E. 5. Henderikx S. 40. Holla T. (G) 15. Janssen S. 3. Meissen R. 8. Tielemans M. 29. van Duinen M. 9. Wlodarczyk S.
Coaches
van Persie R.	den Uil R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Bronkhorst I. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Zagre A. ⚽, van Gassel S. (A),
33', Moder J. 🟨,
44', Hwang In-Beom ↓, Nieuwkoop B. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Kraaijeveld T. 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Ueda A. ⚽, Bos J. (A),
59', 2 - 1, Ueda A. ⚽, Sterling R. (A),
60', Bergraaf J. ↓, Meissen R. ↑,
68', Nieuwkoop B. ↓, Lotomba J. ↑,
73', Deijl M. 🟨,
79', Sanches Fernandes D. ↓, van Duinen M. ↑,
79', Hartjes L. ↓, Hansson E. ↑,
79', de Regt G. ↓, Wlodarczyk S. ↑,
81', Ueda A. ↓, Borges G. ↑,
81', Sterling R. ↓, Tengstedt C. ↑,
81', Kraaijeveld T. ↓, van den Elshout T. ↑,
90', Schouten L. ↓, Carlen A. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Feyenoord won 5.

Feyenoord is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Excelsior's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Feyenoord may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Feyenoord is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Feyenoord: Ahmedhodzic A. (Yellow Cards) Beelen T. (Broken Leg) Jeng M. (Leg Injury) Read G. (Muscle Injury) Sauer L. (Hamstring Injury) Smal G. (Hip Injury) Steijn S. (Knee Injury) Trauner G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Zand S. (Knee Injury) van Persie S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Excelsior: Hansson E. (Thigh Injury) Jonathans M. (Knee Injury) Raatsie C. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Feyenoord: Valente L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Excelsior: Nadje C. (Inactive)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Feyenoord won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 53:16. (average 3.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Feyenoord won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 34:4. (average 3.8:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Feyenoord	8	6	2	0	27:7	20	20
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15:9	6	11

Last Results with these Odds

Feyenoord - the odds 1.27 are the expected chance of winning is 72.88%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Feyenoord
Dutch Eredivisie
08.03.26	NAC Breda - Feyenoord	3:3 ✺
01.03.26	Twente - Feyenoord	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Feyenoord - Telstar	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Feyenoord - Go Ahead Eagles	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Utrecht - Feyenoord	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLWWW
- Excelsior Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
07.03.26	Excelsior - Heerenveen	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Excelsior - Go Ahead Eagles	0:1 ✺
20.02.26	Fortuna Sittard - Excelsior	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Excelsior - AZ Alkmaar	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	NAC Breda - Excelsior	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
16.08.25	Excelsior - Feyenoord	1:2
19.05.24	Feyenoord - Excelsior	4:0
25.11.23	Excelsior - Feyenoord	2:4
07.05.23	Excelsior - Feyenoord	0:2
13.11.22	Feyenoord - Excelsior	5:1
03.02.19	Excelsior - Feyenoord	2:1
19.08.18	Feyenoord - Excelsior	3:0

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