The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Excelsior 31.6%
Draw 26.7%
AZ Alkmaar 41.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.1%
24.1%
53.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.9%
23.8%
54.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Excelsior's performance.
AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AZ Alkmaar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Excelsior that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+12.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AZ Alkmaar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
21.7%
21.7%
56.5%
Excelsior - AZ Alkmaar Predictions
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). AZ will win (votes: 13 - 56.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 36.2% – 76.8%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Excelsior (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - AZ (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +0.25 - Excelsior (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): AZ Alkmaar will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Excelsior (votes: 2 - 28.6%). AZ (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. van Gassel S. (G) 2. Bronkhorst I. 4. Widell C. (C) 3. Meissen R. 12. Zagre A. 14. Schouten L. 23. Yegoian I. 20. Hartjes L. 30. Sanches Fernandes D. 10. Naujoks N. 11. de Regt G.
41. Zoet J. (G) 34. de Wit M. 5. Penetra 3. Goes W. (C) 15. Chavez Garcia M. 56. Robbemond R. 20. Boogaard K. 7. Weslley Patati 9. Parrott T. 27. Daal R. 19. Hornkamp J.
Substitutes
33. Bergraaf J. 6. Carlen A. 7. Hansson E. 5. Henderikx S. 15. Janssen S. 26. Jonathans M. 18. Nadje C. 16. Raatsie C. (G) 29. van Duinen M. 9. Wlodarczyk S.
4. Dekker M. 22. Dijkstra E. 18. Ichihara R. 17. Jensen I. 35. Meerdink M. 10. Mijnans S. 24. Oufkir A. 11. Sadiq I. 71. Schipper J. (G) 33. Sin M. 23. van Duijl B. 12. Verhulst H. (G)
Coaches
den Uil R.
Echteld L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Bronkhorst I. 🟨,
29', Chavez Garcia M. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Bronkhorst I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Chavez Garcia M. ↓, Dijkstra E. ↑,
46', Daal R. ↓, Jensen I. ↑,
56', Weslley Patati ↓, Sadiq I. ↑,
57', Hornkamp J. ↓, Mijnans S. ↑,
69', Naujoks N. ↓, Bergraaf J. ↑,
69', Bronkhorst I. ↓, Janssen S. ↑,
70', Robbemond R. 🟨,
70', Robbemond R. ↓, Meerdink M. ↑,
79', Sanches Fernandes D. ↓, Jonathans M. ↑,
84', Hartjes L. ↓, Henderikx S. ↑,
84', Schouten L. ↓, Carlen A. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Parrott T. ⚽, de Wit M. (A),
90+6', 1 - 2, Penetra ⚽, Boogaard K. (A),
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Excelsior may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, AZ has had a series of home games.
AZ might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in AZ: Clasie J.
(Ankle Injury)
Kasius D.
(Injury)
Koopmeiners P.
(Yellow Cards)
Mijnans S.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Excelsior: Naujoks N.
(Injury)
There are questionable in AZ: Maikuma S.
(Injury)
Meerdink M.
(Groin Injury)
Smit K.
(Inactive)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:49. (average 1.4:2.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.9:2.4).
Argentina
Brazil
Canada
France
Hong-kong
Indonesia
Mexico
Netherlands
North-central-america
Peru
Russia
Serbia
Slovakia
Slovenia
Turkey
Uruguay
Usa
Venezuela
World
Watch
#ad
van Gassel S. (G) 
Widell C. (C) 
Zagre A. 
Yegoian I. 
Penetra 
Chavez Garcia M. 
Weslley Patati 
Parrott T. 
Jonathans M. 
Nadje C. 
Wlodarczyk S. 
Ichihara R. 
Jensen I. 
Sadiq I. 
Sin M. 
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
