The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Feyenoord 63.8%
Draw 20.7%
Sparta Rotterdam 15.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
71.9%
17.4%
10.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.1%
15%
12.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Feyenoord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Feyenoord's form might have worsened.
Sparta Rotterdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feyenoord than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
72.2%
11.1%
16.7%
Feyenoord - Sparta Rotterdam Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Feyenoord will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Feyenoord: 51.5% โ 92.9%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -2 - Feyenoord (2.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Feyenoord will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Feyenoord (votes: 5 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Wellenreuther T. (C) 30. Lotomba J. 21. Ahmedhodzic A. 4. Watanabe T. 15. Bos J. 6. Hwang In-Beom 40. Valente L. 16. Sauer L. 14. Steijn S. 23. Hadj Moussa A. 17. Tengstedt C.
1. Drommel J. (G) 2. Martes L. 3. Young M. 4. Martins Indi B. (C) 5. Quintero T. 6. Baas J. 10. Santos A. 8. Kitolano J. 7. van Bergen M. 9. Lauritsen T. 11. Mito S.
Substitutes
72. Agboluaje H. 1. Bijlow J. (G) 11. Borges G. 39. Bossin L. (G) 10. Larin C. 43. Plug J. 32. Sliti A. 8. Timber Q. 44. van den Elshout T. 49. van Persie S.
13. Bakari S. 20. Bednarek F. (G) 21. Clement P. 16. de Guzman J. 15. Kleijn M. 30. Kuiper P. (G) 22. Ltaief S. 12. Sambo S. 19. Thorisson N. 18. Toornstra J. 17. van Aanholt P. 14. Velthuis T.
Coaches
van Persie R.
Steijn M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Baas J. 🟨,
23', Santos A. 🟨,
38', Hadj Moussa A. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Kitolano J. ⚽, Lauritsen T. (A),
43', Martes L. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 3)
55', 0 - 2, van Bergen M. ⚽,
63', Tengstedt C. ↓, van Persie S. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Hwang In-Beom ⚽, Valente L. (A),
69', van Bergen M. ↓, Clement P. ↑,
71', 1 - 3, Mito S. ⚽, Clement P. (A),
72', Steijn S. ↓, Timber Q. ↑,
72', Hwang In-Beom ↓, Larin C. ↑,
80', Mito S. ↓, Kleijn M. ↑,
80', Santos A. ↓, Sambo S. ↑,
82', Lotomba J. ↓, van den Elshout T. ↑,
87', 2 - 3, van Persie S. ⚽, Timber Q. (A),
88', 3 - 3, van Persie S. ⚽, Valente L. (A),
89', Martes L. ↓, Bakari S. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 4, Kitolano J. ⚽, Clement P. (A),
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Feyenoord won 3.
Recent form of Feyenoord has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Sparta Rotterdam's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Sparta Rotterdam may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Feyenoord is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Feyenoord: Beelen T.
(Broken Leg)
Diarra G.
(Ankle Injury)
Jeng M.
(Leg Injury)
Moder J.
(Back Injury)
Nieuwkoop B.
(Groin Injury)
Targhalline O.
(International duty)
Trauner G.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Zand S.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: van Crooij V.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Feyenoord: Smal G.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Sparta Rotterdam: Sambo S.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Feyenoord won 14 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 51:10. (average 2.6:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Feyenoord won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 31:5. (average 2.8:0.5).