Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Kras Stadion (Volendam)

Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 4, ESPN Extra


	Volendam		Sparta Rotterdam

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.7	2.35	Watch
	2.75	3.6	2.37
	2.8	3.55	2.42
	2.79	3.7	2.38
	2.74	3.67	2.41	Watch
	2.63	3.4	2.4
	2.8	3.6	2.46	Watch
	2.75	3.5	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.68)	3.59 ↑ (3.52)	2.4 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volendam
34.3%

Draw
26.3%

Sparta Rotterdam
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

26.6%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

26.2%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volendam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Sparta Rotterdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Volendam aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.6%	36.4%	50%

Volendam - Sparta Rotterdam Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Volendam will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 11 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sparta Rotterdam: 29.1% – 70.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Volendam (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Volendam (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Volendam (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. van Oevelen K. (G) 2. Payne D. 3. Amevor M. 20. Verschuren N. 32. Leliendal Y. 8. Yah G. 18. Bukala N. 10. Kuwas B. 7. Kokcu O. 11. Oehlers A. 9. Veerman H. (C)	1. Drommel J. (G) 2. Sambo S. 3. Young M. 4. Martins Indi B. (C) 5. Quintero T. 6. Baas J. 8. Kitolano J. 7. van Bergen M. 10. Santos A. 11. Mito S. 9. Lauritsen T.
Substitutes
25. Blondeau L. 28. Esajas S. 17. Ideho J. 4. Mbuyamba X. 14. Meijers A. 21. Muhren R. 6. Plat A. 16. Steur R. (G) 39. Tielemans J. 5. Ugwu P. 22. Vlak D. (G) 24. Wong-A-Soij K.	20. Bednarek F. (G) 16. Clement P. 21. Duijvestijn L. 15. Kleijn M. 30. Kuiper P. (G) 22. Ltaief S. 12. Martes L. 17. Oufkir A. 19. Thorisson N. 18. Toornstra J. 14. van Aanholt P. 13. Velthuis T.
Coaches
Kruys R.	Steijn M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Sambo S. 🟨,
16', Bukala N. 🟨,
45', Kuwas B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sambo S. ↓, Martes L. ↑,
46', Payne D. ↓, Ugwu P. ↑,
63', Kuwas B. ↓, Ideho J. ↑,
63', Bukala N. ↓, Mbuyamba X. ↑,
75', van Bergen M. ↓, Oufkir A. ↑,
75', Martins Indi B. ↓, Kleijn M. ↑,
75', Santos A. ↓, Duijvestijn L. ↑,
80', 0 - 1, Lauritsen T. (Penalty Awarded),
81', Lauritsen T. 🟨,
81', van Oevelen K. 🟨,
81', Kokcu O. ↓, Muhren R. ↑,
87', Yah G. ↓, Meijers A. ↑,
89', Kitolano J. ↓, Velthuis T. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Volendam won 1.

Volendam is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sparta Rotterdam has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Volendam may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Volendam: Amevor M. (Red Card) Descotte A. (Inactive) van Cruijsen R. (Inactive)

There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: Bakari S. (International duty)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Volendam won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:34. (average 1.2:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Volendam won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1.3:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Volendam - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.82%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volendam
Dutch KNVB Beker
18.12.25	Volendam - Genemuiden	2:0 ET ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
13.12.25	Groningen - Volendam	3:0 ✺
07.12.25	Volendam - NEC Nijmegen	2:3 ✺
30.11.25	PSV Eindhoven - Volendam	3:0 ✺
22.11.25	Volendam - Twente	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLLT
- Sparta Rotterdam
Dutch KNVB Beker
18.12.25	Willem II - Sparta Rotterdam	1:5 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
14.12.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Heerenveen	0:3 ✺
07.12.25	Sparta Rotterdam - NAC Breda	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	NEC Nijmegen - Sparta Rotterdam	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Fortuna Sittard	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
28.04.24	Sparta Rotterdam - Volendam	1:0
12.11.23	Volendam - Sparta Rotterdam	1:4
13.05.23	Volendam - Sparta Rotterdam	2:1
03.09.22	Sparta Rotterdam - Volendam	4:0
Dutch KNVB Beker
30.10.19	Sparta Rotterdam - Volendam	1:0
Dutch Eerste Divisie
01.02.19	Volendam - Sparta Rotterdam	2:2
24.08.18	Sparta Rotterdam - Volendam	2:0

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