Match Info

Conference League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 8 May 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 4, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport LaLiga
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 3
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	05:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Canal+
Belgium	21:00	Play6, Play Sports 6, VOOsport World 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Bulgaria	22:00	Ring, Voyo
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	15:00	Disney+
China	03:00	iQIYI
Colombia	14:00	Disney+
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	21:00	Sport 3
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 4
Georgia	23:00	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	21:00	RTL+
Greece	22:00	ANT 1+, ANT 1 Greece, COSMOTE Sport 3
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	19:00	Stod 2 Sport 3
India	00:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	22:00	Sport 1
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno, TV8
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	ART Sport 3
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	13:00	Claro Sports, FOX Sports 2
Mongolia	03:00	Premier Sports 4
Myanmar	01:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 5
New Zealand	07:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	20:00	SuperSport Football Plus
North Central America	—	SportsMax+ Caribbean
Norway	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport 3
Peru	14:00	Disney+
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Premium 3
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 3
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	21:00	SportKlub 3
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Thailand	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Turkey	22:00	Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	02:00	ON Plus
International	19:00	VIX App


	Fiorentina		Betis

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.3
	2.2	3.3	2.95
	2.22	3.55	3.15	Watch
	2.25	3.6	3.22
	2.32	3.53	3.11	Watch
	2.26	3.49	3.33
	2.22	3.55	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.63)	3.49 ↑ (3.33)	3.17 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fiorentina
42.6%

Draw
27.3%

Betis
30.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.2%

28.6%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

29.4%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fiorentina's performance.

Betis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Betis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fiorentina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Betis than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.2%	13.4%	19.4%

Fiorentina - Betis Predictions

Users Predictions: 66 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 45 - 68.2%). Betis will win (votes: 12 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 57% – 79.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 20 - 71.4%). Betis (votes: 4 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 8 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

TQ, OT - Fiorentina (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH 0 - Betis (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Betis (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH 0, 1st Half - Fiorentina (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Fiorentina (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Fiorentina (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 35 Selected Experts predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 24 - 68.6%). Betis (votes: 7 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 11.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. de Gea D. (G) 5. Pongracic M. 15. Comuzzo P. 6. Ranieri L. (C) 2. Dodo 8. Mandragora R. 29. Adli Y. 44. Fagioli N. 21. Gosens R. 10. Gudmundsson A. 20. Kean M.	25. Vieites F. (G) 23. Sabaly Y. 5. Bartra M. 6. Natan 12. Rodriguez R. 4. Johnny Cardoso 22. Isco (C) 20. Lo Celso G. 7. Antony 11. Bakambu C. 18. Fornals P.
Substitutes
9. Beltran L. 63. Caprini M. 23. Colpani A. 90. Folorunsho M. 30. Martinelli T. (G) 22. Moreno M. 65. Parisi F. 24. Richardson A. 1. Terracciano P. (G) 17. Zaniolo N.	13. Adrian (G) 16. Altimira S. 2. Bellerin H. 10. Ezzalzouli A. 30. Garcia G. (G) 52. Garcia P. 32. Mendy N. 15. Perraud R. 36. Rodriguez J. 24. Ruibal A.
Coaches
Palladino R.	Pellegrini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Antony ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Gosens R. ⚽, Mandragora R. (A),
42', 2 - 1, Gosens R. ⚽, Adli Y. (A),
43', Dodo 🟨,
43', Fornals P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Adli Y. ↓, Richardson A. ↑,
58', Bartra M. ↓, Mendy N. ↑,
58', Lo Celso G. ↓, Ezzalzouli A. ↑,
77', Richardson A. 🟨,
77', Pongracic M. 🟨,
84', Kean M. 🟨,
84', Natan 🟨,
87', Sabaly Y. ↓, Bellerin H. ↑,
87', Fagioli N. 🟨,
88', Fagioli N. ↓, Folorunsho M. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
91', Fornals P. ↓, Ruibal A. ↑,
91', Bakambu C. ↓, Altimira S. ↑,
95', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Beltran L. ↑,
95', Gosens R. ↓, Parisi F. ↑,
97', 2 - 2, Ezzalzouli A. ⚽, Antony (A),
99', Ruibal A. 🟨,
99', Ranieri L. 🟨,
106', Dodo ↓, Colpani A. ↑,
106', Pongracic M. ↓, Zaniolo N. ↑,
110', Folorunsho M. 🟨,
114', Bellerin H. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
120+3', Vieites F. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.

Fiorentina has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Betis is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fiorentina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Fiorentina: Bove E. (Heart Problems) Dodo (Surgery) Mari P. (Inactive) Ndour C. (Inactive)

There will not play in Betis: Avila C. (Thigh Injury) Carvalho W. (Inactive) Cucho Hernandez (Inactive) Llorente D. (Hamstring Injury) Roca M. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Fiorentina: Cataldi D. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
04.05.25	Roma - Fiorentina	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.05.25	Betis - Fiorentina	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
27.04.25	Fiorentina - Empoli	2:1 ✺
23.04.25	Cagliari - Fiorentina	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.04.25	Fiorentina - Celje	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWT
- Real Betis
Spanish LaLiga
04.05.25	Espanyol - Betis	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.05.25	Betis - Fiorentina	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
24.04.25	Betis - Valladolid	5:1 ✺
21.04.25	Girona - Betis	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.04.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Betis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
01.05.25	Betis - Fiorentina	2:1
Club Friendly
06.08.22	Betis - Fiorentina	3:1
11.08.14	Betis - Fiorentina	1:2

Upcoming Matches