Match Info

Conference League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 8 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence)

Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Fiorentina		Betis

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.3
	2.2	3.3	2.95
	2.22	3.55	3.15	Watch
	2.25	3.6	3.22
	2.32	3.53	3.11	Watch
	2.26	3.49	3.33
	2.22	3.55	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.63)	3.49 ↑ (3.33)	3.17 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina
42.6%

Draw
27.3%

Betis
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

28.6%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

29.4%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fiorentina's performance.

Betis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Betis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fiorentina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Betis than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.2%	13.4%	19.4%

Fiorentina - Betis Predictions

Users Predictions: 66 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 45 - 68.2%). Betis will win (votes: 12 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 57% – 79.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 20 - 71.4%). Betis (votes: 4 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 8 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

TQ, OT - Fiorentina (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH 0 - Betis (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Betis (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH 0, 1st Half - Fiorentina (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Fiorentina (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Fiorentina (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 35 Selected Experts predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 24 - 68.6%). Betis (votes: 7 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 11.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. de Gea D. (G) 5. Pongracic M. 15. Comuzzo P. 6. Ranieri L. (C) 2. Dodo 8. Mandragora R. 29. Adli Y. 44. Fagioli N. 21. Gosens R. 10. Gudmundsson A. 20. Kean M.	25. Vieites F. (G) 23. Sabaly Y. 5. Bartra M. 6. Natan 12. Rodriguez R. 4. Johnny Cardoso 22. Isco (C) 20. Lo Celso G. 7. Antony 11. Bakambu C. 18. Fornals P.
Substitutes
9. Beltran L. 63. Caprini M. 23. Colpani A. 90. Folorunsho M. 30. Martinelli T. (G) 22. Moreno M. 65. Parisi F. 24. Richardson A. 1. Terracciano P. (G) 17. Zaniolo N.	13. Adrian (G) 16. Altimira S. 2. Bellerin H. 10. Ezzalzouli A. 30. Garcia G. (G) 52. Garcia P. 32. Mendy N. 15. Perraud R. 36. Rodriguez J. 24. Ruibal A.
Coaches
Palladino R.	Pellegrini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Antony ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Gosens R. ⚽, Mandragora R. (A),
42', 2 - 1, Gosens R. ⚽, Adli Y. (A),
43', Dodo 🟨,
43', Fornals P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Adli Y. ↓, Richardson A. ↑,
58', Bartra M. ↓, Mendy N. ↑,
58', Lo Celso G. ↓, Ezzalzouli A. ↑,
77', Richardson A. 🟨,
77', Pongracic M. 🟨,
84', Kean M. 🟨,
84', Natan 🟨,
87', Sabaly Y. ↓, Bellerin H. ↑,
87', Fagioli N. 🟨,
88', Fagioli N. ↓, Folorunsho M. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
91', Fornals P. ↓, Ruibal A. ↑,
91', Bakambu C. ↓, Altimira S. ↑,
95', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Beltran L. ↑,
95', Gosens R. ↓, Parisi F. ↑,
97', 2 - 2, Ezzalzouli A. ⚽, Antony (A),
99', Ruibal A. 🟨,
99', Ranieri L. 🟨,
106', Dodo ↓, Colpani A. ↑,
106', Pongracic M. ↓, Zaniolo N. ↑,
110', Folorunsho M. 🟨,
114', Bellerin H. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
120+3', Vieites F. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.

Fiorentina has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Betis is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fiorentina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Fiorentina: Bove E. (Heart Problems) Dodo (Surgery) Mari P. (Inactive) Ndour C. (Inactive)

There will not play in Betis: Avila C. (Thigh Injury) Carvalho W. (Inactive) Cucho Hernandez (Inactive) Llorente D. (Hamstring Injury) Roca M. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Fiorentina: Cataldi D. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
04.05.25	Roma - Fiorentina	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.05.25	Betis - Fiorentina	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
27.04.25	Fiorentina - Empoli	2:1 ✺
23.04.25	Cagliari - Fiorentina	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.04.25	Fiorentina - Celje	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWT
- Real Betis
Spanish LaLiga
04.05.25	Espanyol - Betis	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.05.25	Betis - Fiorentina	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
24.04.25	Betis - Valladolid	5:1 ✺
21.04.25	Girona - Betis	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.04.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Betis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
01.05.25	Betis - Fiorentina	2:1
Club Friendly
06.08.22	Betis - Fiorentina	3:1
11.08.14	Betis - Fiorentina	1:2

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