Match Info

Conference League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 1 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Benito Villamarín (Sevilla)

Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 4
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 4
Belgium	Canvas, VRT Canvas
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
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Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 4, CANAL+ Sport
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	RTL+
Greece	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 3
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno, TV8
Kosovo	ART Sport 3
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Claro Sports, FOX Sports 2, Fox Sports
Mongolia	Premier Sports 4
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Canal+, Sporza, Ziggo Sport 5
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Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	VIX App


	Betis		Fiorentina

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	4.5
	1.68	3.5	4.6
	1.8	3.75	4.5
	1.84	3.65	4.77
	1.81	3.69	4.75	Watch
	1.81	3.68	4.75
	1.8	3.75	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.7)	3.66 ↓ (3.84)	4.62 ↓ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Betis
53.3%

Draw
26.1%

Fiorentina
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

24.7%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

27.1%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Betis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Betis than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Betis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.6%	6.5%	21%

Betis - Fiorentina Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

TQ, OT - Betis (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.5 - Betis (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Fiorentina (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Betis will win (45 of 56 users predict this - 80.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.95% – 90.77%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Betis will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Betis (votes: 22 - 84.6%). Fiorentina (votes: 4 - 15.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Vieites F. (G) 24. Ruibal A. 5. Bartra M. 6. Natan 15. Perraud R. 4. Johnny Cardoso 22. Isco (C) 18. Fornals P. 7. Antony 11. Bakambu C. 10. Ezzalzouli A.	43. de Gea D. (G) 5. Pongracic M. 15. Comuzzo P. 6. Ranieri L. (C) 65. Parisi F. 8. Mandragora R. 32. Cataldi D. 44. Fagioli N. 21. Gosens R. 10. Gudmundsson A. 9. Beltran L.
Substitutes
13. Adrian (G) 16. Altimira S. 2. Bellerin H. 52. Garcia P. 41. Gonzalez M. (G) 20. Lo Celso G. 32. Mendy N. 36. Rodriguez J. 12. Rodriguez R. 23. Sabaly Y.	29. Adli Y. 63. Caprini M. 23. Colpani A. 90. Folorunsho M. 20. Kean M. 30. Martinelli T. (G) 22. Moreno M. 24. Richardson A. 1. Terracciano P. (G) 17. Zaniolo N.
Coaches
Pellegrini M.	Palladino R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Bakambu C. 🟨,
6', 1 - 0, Ezzalzouli A. ⚽, Bakambu C. (A),
29', Cataldi D. ↓, Adli Y. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Beltran L. ↓, Kean M. ↑,
62', Ezzalzouli A. ↓, Lo Celso G. ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Antony ⚽,
64', Parisi F. 🟨,
68', Fagioli N. ↓, Richardson A. ↑,
68', Parisi F. ↓, Folorunsho M. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Ranieri L. ⚽, Gosens R. (A),
73', Perraud R. 🟨,
73', Folorunsho M. 🟨,
78', Fornals P. ↓, Altimira S. ↑,
84', Adli Y. 🟨,
84', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Zaniolo N. ↑,
90+5', Mandragora R. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, Betis is a favorite.

There will not play in Betis: Avila C. (Thigh Injury) Carvalho W. (Inactive) Cucho Hernandez (Inactive) Llorente D. (Hamstring Injury) Roca M. (Injury)

There will not play in Fiorentina: Bove E. (Heart Problems) Dodo (Surgery) Mari P. (Inactive) Ndour C. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Betis won 1 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 matches, and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams, Betis won 1 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 matches, and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Betis
Spanish LaLiga
24.04.25	Betis - Valladolid	5:1 ✺
21.04.25	Girona - Betis	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.04.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Betis	1:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
13.04.25	Betis - Villarreal	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.04.25	Betis - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWTLW
- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
27.04.25	Fiorentina - Empoli	2:1 ✺
23.04.25	Cagliari - Fiorentina	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.04.25	Fiorentina - Celje	2:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
13.04.25	Fiorentina - Parma	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.04.25	Celje - Fiorentina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
06.08.22	Betis - Fiorentina	3:1
11.08.14	Betis - Fiorentina	1:2

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