The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fiorentina 70.7%
Draw 18.2%
Lech Poznań 11.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
71.6%
18%
10.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
75%
17.2%
9.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
16.7%
3.3%
Fiorentina - Lech Poznań Predictions
Users Predictions:
Fiorentina will win
(24 of 30 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 65.69% – 94.31%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
2nd leg. 1st leg result: 4-1.
Fiorentina has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, a very good chance of semis (>99%), a good chance of final (66%), a chance of win league (40%).
Lech has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, a very small chance of semis (<1%), a very small chance of final (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality60, very big importance100, big match rating80. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Fiorentina is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Lech is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Fiorentina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Fiorentina is absolute favorite.
There will not play in Fiorentina: Amrabat S.
(Injury)
Brekalo J.
(Injury)
Ikone J.
(Injury)
Sirigu S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Lech: Salamon B.
(Doping)
Szymczak F.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Lech: Dagerstal F.
(Injury)
Karlstrom J.
(Injury)
Our prediction for today's Fiorentina to win the game is with odds 1.3.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Fiorentina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.