Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 28 November 2024, Thursday

Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence)

Referee: Eskas E. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8
Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3, Moja TV
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 11
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Iceland	Stod 2 Sport 5
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 253
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	FOX Sports 3
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	Viaplay
Philippines	beIN Connect
Portugal	DAZN 6
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 9, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 6
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+


	Fiorentina		Paphos

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	7
	1.38	4.5	7
	1.42	4.75	7	Watch
	1.42	4.8	7.38
	1.39	4.91	7.03	Watch
	1.29	5	8.5
	1.41	4.94	8.15
	1.42	4.75	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.25)	4.8 ↓ (4.9)	7.38 ↓ (8.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina
67.6%

Draw
19.6%

Paphos
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.3%

18.2%

10.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.2%	0%	4.8%

Fiorentina - Paphos Predictions

Users Predictions: Fiorentina will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Terracciano P. (G) 2. Dodo 15. Comuzzo P. 5. Pongracic M. 65. Parisi F. 28. Martinez Quarta L. (C) 8. Mandragora R. 9. Beltran L. 11. Ikone J. 99. Kouame C. 7. Sottil R.	1. Ivusic I. (G) 7. Bruno 5. Goldar D. 23. Luckassen D. 2. Pileas K. 30. Dragomir V. 77. Correia J. 88. Pepe 26. Sunjic I. 22. Tankovic M. 10. Jairo (C)
Substitutes
3. Biraghi C. 4. Bove E. 32. Cataldi D. 23. Colpani A. 43. de Gea D. (G) 21. Gosens R. 33. Kayode M. 20. Kean M. 30. Martinelli T. (G) 22. Moreno M. 6. Ranieri L. 66. Rubino T.	33. Anderson Silva 70. Ilia M. 11. Jaja 9. Leo Natel 93. Michail N. (G) 25. Name M. 8. Quina D. 45. Rafael Pontelo 19. Silva J. 83. Theodoulou P. (G)
Coaches
Palladino R.	Carcedo J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Kouame C. ⚽, Dodo (A),
43', Sunjic I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
53', 2 - 0, Goldar D. (Own goal), Sottil R. (A),
60', Parisi F. 🟨,
60', Pepe 🟨,
62', Dodo ↓, Kayode M. ↑,
62', Beltran L. ↓, Bove E. ↑,
62', Comuzzo P. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Jairo ⚽, Bruno (A),
69', Sottil R. ↓, Biraghi C. ↑,
73', 3 - 1, Martinez Quarta L. ⚽, Kayode M. (A),
73', Correia J. 🟨,
73', Pileas K. ↓, Quina D. ↑,
74', Correia J. ↓, Jaja ↑,
74', Jairo ↓, Anderson Silva ↑,
75', Martinez Quarta L. ↓, Rubino T. ↑,
83', Bruno 🟨,
87', 3 - 2, Jaja ⚽,
88', Pepe ↓, Name M. ↑,
88', Tankovic M. ↓, Ilia M. ↑,
90+5', Rubino T. 🟨,

Preview

Fiorentina is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Paphos in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently Fiorentina have a series of guest games.

In this match Fiorentina is certain favorite.

There will not play in Fiorentina: Biraghi C. (Injury) Richardson A. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Fiorentina: Gudmundsson A. (Thigh Injury)

Our prediction for today's Fiorentina to win the game is with odds 1.39.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
24.11.24	Como - Fiorentina	0:2 ✺
10.11.24	Fiorentina - Verona	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.11.24	APOEL - Fiorentina	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
03.11.24	Torino - Fiorentina	0:1 ✺
31.10.24	Genoa - Fiorentina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLWW
- Paphos FC
Cypriot First Division
23.11.24	Paphos - APOEL	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	Apollon Limassol - Paphos	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.11.24	Paphos - Astana	1:0 ✺
Cypriot First Division
03.11.24	Paphos - Omonia Aradippou	4:0 ✺
28.10.24	Omonia 29is Maiou - Paphos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWW

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