Match Info

Serie A - Round 25

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	15:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	11:00	DAZN, Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	18:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Bolivia	10:00	DAZN
Brazil	11:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	16:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	09:00	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
China	22:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	09:00	ESPN
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	16:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	15:00	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	15:00	TV2 Play
Ecuador	09:00	DAZN
Finland	16:00	MTV Katsomo+
France	15:00	DAZN France
Germany	15:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	16:00	COSMOTE Sport 9
Hong Kong	22:00	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Indonesia	21:00	Vidio
Israel	16:00	ONE Sport 2
Italy	15:00	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	20:00	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	15:00	ART Sport 1
Kuwait	17:00	Shasha
Malaysia	22:00	Astro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	08:00	Disney+, ESPN
New Zealand	03:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	ESPN Norte
Norway	15:00	VG+
Paraguay	11:00	DAZN
Peru	09:00	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 3, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	14:00	Sport TV3
Romania	16:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	17:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	17:00	STC TV
Serbia	15:00	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	15:00	Sport 1
Slovenia	15:00	Arena Sport 1
South Korea	23:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:00	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	21:00	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	15:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	17:00	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	14:00	DAZN
Uruguay	11:00	DAZN, Disney+
Usa	09:00	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Venezuela	10:00	DAZN, Disney+
Vietnam	21:00	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
International	14:00	Starzplay Sports app


	Como		Fiorentina

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.8	5	Watch
	1.7	3.95	4.7	Watch
	1.73	3.9	5.35
	1.67	4	5.03	Watch
	1.67	3.7	4.8
	1.7	3.95	5.33
	1.69	3.8	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 (1.7)	3.87 ↓ (3.98)	5.03 ↑ (4.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Como
56.3%

Draw
24.7%

Fiorentina
19%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.9%

23.9%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

23.2%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Como than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	6.2%	9.2%

Como - Fiorentina Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Fiorentina (2.19) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH 0 - Fiorentina (3.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Como (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Como will win (55 of 62 users predict this - 88.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.83% – 96.59%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Como will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 27 Selected Experts predict this event. Como (votes: 23 - 85.2%). Fiorentina (votes: 4 - 14.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Butez J. (G) 31. Vojvoda M. 14. Ramon J. 2. Kempf M. O. 3. Valle A. 23. Perrone M. 33. Da Cunha L. 19. Kuhn N. 10. Paz N. 20. Baturina M. 11. Douvikas A.	43. de Gea D. (C) 2. Dodo 5. Pongracic M. 6. Ranieri L. 65. Parisi F. 8. Mandragora R. 44. Fagioli N. 4. Brescianini M. 17. Harrison J. 20. Kean M. 19. Solomon M.
Substitutes
42. Addai J. 6. Caqueret M. 44. Cavlina N. (G) 34. Diego Carlos 15. Lahdo A. 7. Morata A. 18. Moreno A. 8. Roberto S. 17. Rodriguez J. 28. Smolcic I. 21. Tornqvist N. (G) 77. Van der Brempt I. 22. Vigorito M. (G)	62. Balbo L. 53. Christensen O. (G) 15. Comuzzo P. 80. Fabbian G. 22. Fazzini J. 29. Fortini N. 21. Gosens R. 60. Kouadio E. 1. Lezzerini L. (G) 27. Ndour C. 91. Piccoli R.
Coaches
Fabregas C.	Vanoli P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Fagioli N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kuhn N. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
46', Valle A. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
49', Kempf M. O. 🟨,
54', 0 - 2, Kean M. (Penalty Awarded),
57', Perrone M. ↓, Addai J. ↑,
57', Douvikas A. ↓, Morata A. ↑,
70', Vanoli P. 🟥,
72', Vojvoda M. ↓, Caqueret M. ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Parisi F. (Own goal),
82', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
84', Fagioli N. ↓, Ndour C. ↑,
84', Kean M. ↓, Piccoli R. ↑,
88', Morata A. 🟨,
88', Mandragora R. 🟨,
89', Morata A. 🟨,
90', Ranieri L. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Como is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fiorentina's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Como is the team to beat.

There will not play in Como: Diao A. (Thigh Injury) Goldaniga E. (Heel Injury)

There will not play in Fiorentina: Gudmundsson A. (Injury) Lamptey T. (Knee Injury) Rugani D. (Calf Injury)

We predict that Como will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Como won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Including home match between the teams, Como won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Como	7	4	2	1	12:7	5	14
18	Fiorentina	7	1	1	5	8:17	-9	4

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Como: 5.61% Fiorentina: 0.25%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Como
Coppa Italia
10.02.26	Napoli - Como	1:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
01.02.26	Como - Atalanta	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
27.01.26	Fiorentina - Como	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
24.01.26	Como - Torino	6:0 ✺
19.01.26	Lazio - Como	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WTWWW
- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
07.02.26	Fiorentina - Torino	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Napoli - Fiorentina	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
27.01.26	Fiorentina - Como	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
24.01.26	Fiorentina - Cagliari	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Bologna - Fiorentina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
27.01.26	Fiorentina - Como	1:3
Italian Serie A
21.09.25	Fiorentina - Como	1:2
16.02.25	Fiorentina - Como	0:2
24.11.24	Como - Fiorentina	0:2

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