Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 23

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Fiorenzuola		Lumezzane

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.4
	2.65	3.2	2.55	Watch
	2.57	3.2	2.5
	2.68	3.07	2.54
	2.5	3.1	2.6
	2.61	3.14	2.47
	2.65	3.15	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.45)	3.14 ↑ (2.9)	2.5 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorenzuola
34.9%

Draw
28.9%

Lumezzane
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

31.1%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

32.6%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorenzuola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Lumezzane has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorenzuola than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lumezzane, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fiorenzuola - Lumezzane Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sorzi M. (G) 19. Sussi C. 6. Bondioli A. 4. Potop S. 3. Maffei M. 27. Mora L. 32. Di Gesu E. 14. Oneto E. 21. Morello M. 18. Ceravolo F. 7. Gonzi J.	1. Filigheddu S. (G) 7. Moscati M. 3. Pisano E. 26. Pogliano C. 33. Righetti S. 8. Cali M. 4. Taugourdeau A. 17. Ilari C. 20. Spini C. 11. Capelli A. 34. Cannavo K.
Substitutes
9. Alberti T. 90. Anelli N. 28. Brogni G. 26. Cremonesi M. 30. D'Amico F. 2. Gentile D. 22. Guadagno J. (G) 29. Musatti M. 13. Seck A. 17. Silvestro A.	14. Basso Ricci A. 21. Dalmazzi A. 2. Deratti J. 9. Gerbi E. 12. Greco E. (G) 40. Kwetshu A. 10. Malotti M. 19. Parodi G. 18. Pesce S. 23. Poledri M. 22. Rizzo M. (G) 27. Scremin G. 38. Tortelli K.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Fiorenzuola is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lumezzane is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fiorenzuola won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Fiorenzuola 1922
Italian Serie C Group A
21.01.24	AlbinoLeffe - Fiorenzuola	1:2 ✺
13.01.24	Fiorenzuola - Pro Sesto	0:0 ✺
07.01.24	Renate - Fiorenzuola	3:1 ✺
22.12.23	Fiorenzuola - Novara	1:2 ✺
17.12.23	Padova - Fiorenzuola	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTLLL
- FC Lumezzane
Italian Serie C Group A
20.01.24	Lumezzane - Vicenza Virtus	2:1 ✺
14.01.24	Pergolettese - Lumezzane	0:1 ✺
08.01.24	Lumezzane - Pro Vercelli	0:3 ✺
23.12.23	Lumezzane - AlbinoLeffe	3:1 ✺
16.12.23	Mantova - Lumezzane	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
20.09.23	Lumezzane - Fiorenzuola	2:0

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