Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Play Out - Final

Date: 19 May 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Novara		Fiorenzuola

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.1	3.5
	1.9	3.3	4
	2.06	3.2	4.07
	2.03	3.07	4.07
	1.95	3.24	3.86
	1.95	3.2	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.66)	3.19 ↓ (3.48)	3.83 ↓ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Novara
46.9%

Draw
29%

Fiorenzuola
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

26.5%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

25.5%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Novara's form might have worsened.

Fiorenzuola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fiorenzuola's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Novara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorenzuola than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fiorenzuola, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Novara - Fiorenzuola Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Novara will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Minelli S. (G) 18. Bentivegna A. 6. Bertoncini D. 26. Boccia S. 11. Corti N. 8. Di Munno A. 35. Lorenzini F. 30. Migliardi F. 13. Ongaro E. 21. Ranieri R. (C) 3. Urso O.	1. Sorzi M. (G) 90. Anelli N. 11. Bocic M. 18. Ceravolo F. 26. Cremonesi M. (C) 32. Di Gesu E. 3. Maffei M. 27. Mora L. 21. Morello M. 5. Nelli J. 14. Oneto E.
Substitutes
5. Bonaccorsi S. 28. Cannavaro A. 29. Caravaca T. 24. De Mori E. 31. Desjardins A. (G) 7. Gerardini F. 17. Kerrigan L. 79. Lancini E. 22. Menegaldo T. (G) 42. Ngamba A. 14. Schiro T. 96. Valenti A. 77. Vilhjalmsson A.	9. Alberti T. 22. Bertozzi R. (G) 8. Binelli D. 28. Brogni G. 30. D'Amico F. 34. Grisendi F. 17. Iasoni S. 29. Musatti M. 20. Popovic G. 38. Reali S. 13. Seck A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Ongaro E. ⚽,
6', Cremonesi M. 🟨,
45+1', Oneto E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Morello M. ↓, Alberti T. ↑,
56', Corti N. ↓, Kerrigan L. ↑,
65', Nelli J. 🟨,
72', 2 - 0, Bentivegna A. ⚽,
74', Bocic M. ↓, Seck A. ↑,
74', Nelli J. ↓, Musatti M. ↑,
81', Seck A. 🟨,
85', Boccia S. ↓, Cannavaro A. ↑,
85', Bentivegna A. ↓, Schiro T. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Alberti T. ⚽,
90+4', Migliardi F. ↓, De Mori E. ↑,
90+4', Urso O. ↓, Valenti A. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 3-1.

Novara is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fiorenzuola is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Novara is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Novara won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Novara won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
12.05.24	Fiorenzuola - Novara	1:3 ✺
28.04.24	Novara - Fiorenzuola	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Triestina - Novara	2:2 ✺
13.04.24	Novara - Legnago Salus	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Vicenza Virtus - Novara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWTWL
- US Fiorenzuola 1922
Italian Serie C Group A
12.05.24	Fiorenzuola - Novara	1:3 ✺
28.04.24	Novara - Fiorenzuola	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Fiorenzuola - Padova	1:1 ✺
12.04.24	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Fiorenzuola	3:0 ✺
06.04.24	Fiorenzuola - Alessandria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
12.05.24	Fiorenzuola - Novara	1:3
28.04.24	Novara - Fiorenzuola	2:0
22.12.23	Fiorenzuola - Novara	1:2
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.10.23	Fiorenzuola - Novara	2:3
Club Friendly
02.08.23	Fiorenzuola - Novara	1:6

Upcoming Matches