The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Flamengo RJ U20 37.5%
Draw 28.8%
Vasco da Gama U20 33.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.3%
25.2%
29.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.7%
26%
28.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flamengo RJ U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Flamengo RJ U20's form might have worsened.
Vasco da Gama U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo RJ U20 than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Flamengo RJ U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama U20 than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vasco da Gama U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Flamengo RJ U20 - Vasco da Gama U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Andrey Fernandes ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', 1 - 1, Joshua ⚽,
62', 2 - 1, Josmar ⚽,
71', Riquelme Avellar 🟥,
81', 2 - 2, Andrey Fernandes ⚽,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Breno Sales (Penalty Awarded),
1, Joao Souza (Penalty Awarded),
2, Lukas Zuccarello (Penalty Awarded),
2, Andrew (Penalty Awarded),
3, Andrey Fernandes (Penalty Awarded),
3, Pablo Lucio (Penalty Awarded),
4, Alison (Penalty Awarded),
4, Juliano (Penalty Awarded),
5, Minete D. (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo U20 won 0.
Flamengo U20 has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Vasco U20 is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Flamengo U20 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Flamengo U20 has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Flamengo U20 is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Flamengo U20 has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:31 (averaging 1.1:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Flamengo U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 13:20 goals (averaging 1.4:2.2 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Vasco da Gama U20 - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 29.43%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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