The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fleetwood Town 24.5%
Draw 29.5%
Sunderland 45.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.7%
29.2%
42.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.2%
19.9%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+17.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fleetwood Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-17.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sunderland, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30.3%
9.1%
60.6%
Fleetwood Town - Sunderland Predictions
Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. Fleetwood will win (votes: 10 - 30.3%). Sunderland will win (votes: 20 - 60.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sunderland: 43.9% – 77.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 18 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
Fleetwood has the most likely position - 11 (5.15%), has project points - 62, has currently - 7, has a small chance of relegated (12%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (15%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Sunderland has the most likely position - 1 (27.72%), has project points - 85, has currently - 15, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (32%), has a good chance of promoted (53%), has a chance of win league (28%).
Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
Sunderland will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Fleetwood won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Fleetwood won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.
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