Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 28 January 2023, Saturday

Location: Hillsborough (Sheffield)

Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Denmark	Discovery+, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Sheffield Wednesday		Fleetwood Town

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.8	5.5	Watch
	1.63	3.9	5.25
	1.63	3.75	6	Watch
	1.61	3.9	5.2
	1.65	3.96	5.57
	1.57	3.6	5.25	Watch
	1.62	4.05	5.3	Watch
	1.62	3.95	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.5)	3.86 ↓ (4.18)	5.43 ↓ (6.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sheffield Wednesday
58.2%

Draw
24.4%

Fleetwood Town
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

22.4%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

21.9%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sheffield Wednesday has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheffield Wednesday than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sheffield Wednesday, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	28.6%	7.1%

Sheffield Wednesday - Fleetwood Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Sheff Wed will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sheff Wed: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Sheff Wed in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Fleetwood is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fleetwood could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Sheff Wed have a series of home games.

In this match Sheff Wed is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Sheff Wed to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sheff Wed won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Sheff Wed won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sheffield Wednesday
English League One
21.01.23	Sheffield Wednesday - Fleetwood Town	1:0 ✺
14.01.23	Wycombe Wanderers - Sheffield Wednesday	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
07.01.23	Sheffield Wednesday - Newcastle United	2:1 ✺
English League One
02.01.23	Sheffield Wednesday - Cambridge United	5:0 ✺
29.12.22	Sheffield Wednesday - Port Vale	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WWWWW
- Fleetwood Town
English League One
24.01.23	Fleetwood Town - Portsmouth	0:2 ✺
21.01.23	Sheffield Wednesday - Fleetwood Town	1:0 ✺
14.01.23	Fleetwood Town - Oxford United	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
07.01.23	Fleetwood Town - Queens Park Rangers	2:1 ✺
English League One
01.01.23	Shrewsbury Town - Fleetwood Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
21.01.23	Sheffield Wednesday - Fleetwood Town	1:0
26.12.22	Fleetwood Town - Sheffield Wednesday	1:2
26.04.22	Fleetwood Town - Sheffield Wednesday	2:3
17.08.21	Sheffield Wednesday - Fleetwood Town	1:0

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