Match Info

Date: 21 August 2021, Saturday


	Sunderland		AFC Wimbledon

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4.75
	1.73	3.5	4.75
	1.75	3.6	5
	1.78	3.5	4.3
	1.81	3.55	4.97
	1.75	3.4	4.5
	1.81	3.54	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.67)	3.53 ↓ (3.6)	4.79 ↓ (5.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sunderland
53.5%

Draw
26.8%

AFC Wimbledon
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

26.3%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

21.8%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sunderland, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AFC Wimbledon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sunderland - AFC Wimbledon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Sunderland has the most likely position - 1 (13.8%), has project points - 80, has currently - 6, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (35%), has a chance of promoted (37%), has a small chance of win league (14%).

Wimbledon has the most likely position - 22 (6.2%), has project points - 56, has currently - 5, has a chance of relegated (23%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (8%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sunderland is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Wimbledon is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Sunderland is a favorite.

Recent matches Wimbledon is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Sunderland won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland AFC
English League One
17.08.21	Burton Albion - Sunderland	1:0 ✺
14.08.21	Milton Keynes Dons - Sunderland	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
10.08.21	Port Vale - Sunderland	1:2 ✺
English League One
07.08.21	Sunderland - Wigan Athletic	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.21	Sunderland - Hull City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWWW
- AFC Wimbledon
English League One
17.08.21	AFC Wimbledon - Gillingham	1:1 ✺
14.08.21	AFC Wimbledon - Bolton Wanderers	3:3 ✺
English League Cup
10.08.21	Charlton Athletic - AFC Wimbledon	0:1 ✺
English League One
07.08.21	Doncaster Rovers - AFC Wimbledon	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.21	AFC Wimbledon - Scunthorpe United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
16.01.21	AFC Wimbledon - Sunderland	0:3
15.12.20	Sunderland - AFC Wimbledon	1:1
24.08.19	Sunderland - AFC Wimbledon	3:1
02.02.19	Sunderland - AFC Wimbledon	1:0
25.08.18	AFC Wimbledon - Sunderland	1:2

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