Match Info

Date: 11 September 2021, Saturday


	Sunderland		Accrington Stanley

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.75	5
	1.65	3.7	5.25
	1.74	3.6	5.1
	1.71	3.6	4.6
	1.75	3.61	5.29
	1.67	3.7	4.6
	1.76	3.78	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.63)	3.68 ↓ (3.92)	5.01 ↓ (5.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sunderland
55.3%

Draw
25.8%

Accrington Stanley
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

24.1%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

19.9%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sunderland, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Sunderland - Accrington Stanley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Sunderland has the most likely position - 1 (22.11%), has project points - 84, has currently - 12, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (35%), has a chance of promoted (49%), has a chance of win league (22%).

Accrington has the most likely position - 16 (5.67%), has project points - 59, has currently - 12, has a chance of relegated (17%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (11%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sunderland is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Accrington is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Accrington could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sunderland is a favorite.

Recent matches Accrington is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Sunderland won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland AFC
English League One
28.08.21	Sunderland - Wycombe Wanderers	3:1 ✺
English League Cup
24.08.21	Blackpool - Sunderland	2:3 ✺
English League One
21.08.21	Sunderland - AFC Wimbledon	1:0 ✺
17.08.21	Burton Albion - Sunderland	1:0 ✺
14.08.21	Milton Keynes Dons - Sunderland	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWLW
- Accrington Stanley
English League One
04.09.21	Accrington Stanley - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
31.08.21	Accrington Stanley - Barrow	3:2 penalties ✺
English League One
28.08.21	Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
24.08.21	Oldham Athletic - Accrington Stanley	1:0 penalties ✺
English League One
21.08.21	Crewe Alexandra - Accrington Stanley	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
24.04.21	Sunderland - Accrington Stanley	3:3
17.03.21	Accrington Stanley - Sunderland	0:2
14.09.19	Accrington Stanley - Sunderland	1:3
English League Cup
13.08.19	Accrington Stanley - Sunderland	1:3
English League One
03.04.19	Accrington Stanley - Sunderland	0:3
15.02.19	Sunderland - Accrington Stanley	2:2

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