Match Info

Meistriliiga - Round 7

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Narva Kalev-Fama staadion (Narva)

Referee: Kulljastinen K. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	Jalgpall.ee


	Narva Trans		Kuressaare

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.95	3.35	Watch
	1.92	4.22	3.54
	1.72	4.33	3.88	Watch
	1.91	3.5	3.3
	1.8	3.88	3.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.69)	3.98 ↑ (3.8)	3.51 ↓ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Narva Trans
50.3%

Draw
23.3%

Kuressaare
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

24.1%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

23.4%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Narva Trans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Kuressaare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Narva Trans than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Narva Trans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kuressaare than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kuressaare, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Narva Trans - Kuressaare Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Narva Trans will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Kuressaare will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zahharov M. (G) 25. Burjanadze S. 5. Campagna C. 12. Eriks Santos 17. Skinjov A. 8. Agaptsev S. 6. Slein G. 39. Poliakov D. (C) 4. Ivanyushin A. 9. Doke J. 10. Gero A.	31. Nomm K. (C) 68. Vahermagi J. 18. Dzemesjuk M. 21. Lukka M. 27. Prunn S. 5. Sinilaid S. 8. Andreas D. 77. Demidov E. 7. Talu R. 11. Jurisoo T. 10. Kivi A.
Substitutes
47. Baljabkin N. 88. Besigirskis A. 19. Elysee 70. Imeh J. 23. Jegorov A. 16. Kondrattsev S. 29. Kudriashov V. 28. Miranda da Silva K. 31. Rebrik I. (G) 26. Rowe H. 20. Stepanov M.	44. Joost O. 37. Leivategija M. 25. Lonks J. 28. Lukas R. 36. Piil R. 22. Ristna S. (G) 17. Roivassepp G. 23. Saar R. 13. Visse A.
Coaches
Kozhukhovskyi R.	Post S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Kivi A. ⚽, Prunn S. (A),
43', 1 - 1, Burjanadze S. ⚽, Poliakov D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Burjanadze S. 🟨,
55', Andreas D. 🟨,
61', Talu R. ↓, Roivassepp G. ↑,
74', Skinjov A. ↓, Rowe H. ↑,
76', 1 - 2, Vahermagi J. ⚽, Andreas D. (A),
82', Poliakov D. ↓, Miranda da Silva K. ↑,
82', Gero A. ↓, Baljabkin N. ↑,
90', Doke J. ↓, Imeh J. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Narva Trans won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Narva Trans is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Narva Trans won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 15:29. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Narva Trans won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.9:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Kuressaare	29	8	5	16	31:49	-18	29
10	Narva	29	5	4	20	22:65	-43	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Narva Trans
Estonian Meistriliiga
11.04.26	Nõmme United - Narva Trans	5:1 ✺
07.04.26	Narva Trans - Tammeka	3:0 ✺
03.04.26	Nõmme Kalju - Narva Trans	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Narva Trans - Pärnu Vaprus	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Paide LM - Narva Trans	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWL
- FC Kuressaare
Estonian Meistriliiga
11.04.26	Kuressaare - Harju JK Laagri	3:2 ✺
07.04.26	Flora Tallinn - Kuressaare	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Kuressaare - Paide LM	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Nõmme Kalju - Kuressaare	4:0 ✺
14.03.26	Kuressaare - Tammeka	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
21.02.26	Kuressaare - Narva Trans	2:2
Estonian Meistriliiga
20.09.25	Kuressaare - Narva Trans	0:0
05.07.25	Narva Trans - Kuressaare	3:2
27.04.25	Kuressaare - Narva Trans	2:1
08.03.25	Narva Trans - Kuressaare	0:2
Club Friendly
08.02.25	Narva Trans - Kuressaare	1:1
Estonian Meistriliiga
09.11.24	Narva Trans - Kuressaare	0:2

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