Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 14

Date: 22 July 2024, Monday

Location: Domingão (Horizonte)

Referee: Holanda G. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Floresta		Sampaio Corrêa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.3
	2.1	2.95	3.5
	2.14	2.93	4.09
	2.09	2.89	3.79
	2.05	3	3.3
	2.1	3	3.49	Watch
	2.12	2.95	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.29)	2.95 (2.95)	3.56 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Floresta
43.4%

Draw
31%

Sampaio Corrêa
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

31.2%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

30.4%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Floresta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Floresta - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Floresta will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Sampaio Corrêa will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luiz Daniel (G) 14. Alisson 13. Andrew 31. Icaro 19. Lohan 3. Lucas Santos 21. Marcelo (C) 18. Marllon 15. Para 11. Romarinho 2. Watson	1. Rafael Mariano (G) 3. Betao 9. Bruno Baio 5. Cavi 4. Fabio Aguiar (C) 7. Jhonata Varela 18. Joao Felipe 20. Nadson Mesquita 11. Pimentinha 2. Rafael Luiz 6. Thallyson
Substitutes
26. Arilson 17. Bismark 6. Bruno Re 23. Buba 16. Davi Castro 30. Diego Ferreira 9. Felipe Marques 5. Jo 8. Lucas Alisson 27. Rayne 20. Vitinho 12. Wilderk (G)	12. Alan (G) 15. Escuro 8. Ferreira 10. Gabriel Silva 14. Guilherme 16. Marcelinho 22. Mauricio Maranhao 13. Onwudiwe F. 19. Renan Gorne 17. Thiaguinho 21. Vitinho
Coaches
Marcelo Cabo	Ze Augusto

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Pimentinha 🟨,
11', Icaro (Pen),
13', Fabio Aguiar 🟨,
13', Cavi 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Lohan ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jhonata Varela ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
46', Nadson Mesquita ↓, Ferreira ↑,
53', Bruno Baio 🟨,
53', Alisson 🟨,
71', Bruno Baio ↓, Renan Gorne ↑,
71', Joao Felipe ↓, Victor Daniel ↑,
72', Andrew ↓, Felipe Marques ↑,
73', Lohan ↓, Lucas Alisson ↑,
73', Marllon ↓, Buba ↑,
76', Para 🟨,
82', Cavi ↓, Thiaguinho ↑,
84', Watson ↓, Rayne ↑,
90+2', Romarinho ↓, Davi Castro ↑,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 14 and 15).

Floresta is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sampaio Corrêa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sampaio Corrêa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Floresta have a series of guest games.

Floresta will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Floresta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Floresta EC
Brazilian Serie C
14.07.24	CS Alagoano - Floresta	1:2 ✺
08.07.24	EC São José Porto Alegre - Floresta	0:0 ✺
30.06.24	Floresta - Caxias	2:1 ✺
22.06.24	Tombense - Floresta	3:0 ✺
17.06.24	Náutico Capibaribe - Floresta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.8 WTWLW
- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie C
13.07.24	Sampaio Corrêa - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:0 ✺
06.07.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Ferroviária	0:2 ✺
29.06.24	Volta Redonda - Sampaio Corrêa	2:2 ✺
26.06.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Athletic Club	3:1 ✺
18.06.24	São Bernardo - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
20.02.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Floresta	3:0

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