Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 8

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video
Colombia	Win Sports
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 4
Mexico	Azteca Deportes
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	Fanatiz
World	Onefootball


	Fluminense		Atlético Mineiro

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.6	6	Watch
	1.66	3.6	5.75
	1.65	3.45	5.4	Watch
	1.69	3.62	6.17
	1.67	3.61	5.82
	1.65	3.3	5.5
	1.69	3.6	5.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.88)	3.54 ↑ (3.47)	5.78 ↑ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fluminense
56.9%

Draw
26.7%

Atlético Mineiro
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

27.3%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

26.7%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fluminense's performance.

Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Mineiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fluminense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Mineiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Fluminense - Atlético Mineiro Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Fluminense will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fabio (C) 23. Guga 3. Jemmes 22. Freytes J. 13. Guilherme Arana 35. Hercules 8. Martinelli 17. Canobbio A. 32. Acosta L. 11. Savarino J. 19. Castillo R.	22. Everson (G) 3. Roman I. 4. Ruan Tressoldi 6. Alonso J. 23. Preciado A. 21. Franco A. 30. Victor Hugo 16. Lodi R. 17. Igor Gomes 11. Bernard 7. Hulk (C)
Substitutes
25. Alisson 4. Ignacio 21. Igor Rabello 9. John Kennedy 29. Millan J. 94. Otavio 10. PH Ganso 6. Rene 2. Samuel Xavier 90. Serna K. 7. Soteldo Y. 98. Vitor Eudes (G)	9. Cassierra M. 28. Cuello 92. Dudu 1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 10. Gustavo Scarpa 13. Lyanco 27. Minda A. 2. Natanael 36. Pascini K. 46. Pedro Cobra (G) 25. Perez T. 19. Reinier
Coaches
Zubeldia L.	Dominguez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Acosta L. 🟨,
25', Roman I. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Castillo R. ⚽, Canobbio A. (A),
33', Guilherme Arana 🟨,
35', Hulk 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Alonso J. 🟨,
59', Roman I. ↓, Cuello ↑,
59', Igor Gomes ↓, Cassierra M. ↑,
68', Ruan Tressoldi 🟨,
68', Victor Hugo ↓, Minda A. ↑,
68', Bernard ↓, Gustavo Scarpa ↑,
69', Canobbio A. 🟨,
81', Martinelli 🟨,
87', Acosta L. ↓, PH Ganso ↑,
87', Canobbio A. ↓, Serna K. ↑,
87', Savarino J. ↓, Soteldo Y. ↑,
87', Hercules ↓, Alisson ↑,
89', Preciado A. ↓, Reinier ↑,
89', Jemmes 🟨,
89', Franco A. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Fluminense is the team to beat.

There will not play in Fluminense: Bernal F. (Injury) Matheus Reis (Inactive) Nonato (Inactive)

There will not play in Atlético MG: Cisse M. (Leg Injury) Maycon (Calf Injury) Vitor Hugo (Inactive)

There are questionable in Fluminense: Acosta L. (Injury) Cano G. (Knee Injury) John Kennedy (Injury)

There are questionable in Atlético MG: Alexsander (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:30. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Fluminense	29	14	9	6	48:36	12	51
7	Atletico-MG	29	12	8	9	39:34	5	44

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fluminense RJ
Brazilian Serie A
18.03.26	Vasco da Gama - Fluminense	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Fluminense - Athletico Paranaense	3:2 ✺
12.03.26	Remo - Fluminense	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
08.03.26	Fluminense - Flamengo	0:1 penalties ✺
01.03.26	Fluminense - Vasco da Gama	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLT
- Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
18.03.26	Atlético Mineiro - São Paulo	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Vitória Salvador - Atlético Mineiro	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Atlético Mineiro - Internacional RS	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
08.03.26	Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	América Mineiro - Atlético Mineiro	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
04.10.25	Fluminense - Atlético Mineiro	3:0
11.05.25	Atlético Mineiro - Fluminense	3:2
Copa Libertadores
25.09.24	Atlético Mineiro - Fluminense	2:0
18.09.24	Fluminense - Atlético Mineiro	1:0
Brazilian Serie A
24.08.24	Atlético Mineiro - Fluminense	0:2
04.05.24	Fluminense - Atlético Mineiro	2:2
28.10.23	Atlético Mineiro - Fluminense	2:0

Upcoming Matches