The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fluminense 40.8%
Draw 32.3%
Barcelona Guayaquil 26.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.1%
28.8%
24%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31%
18.9%
36.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fluminense's form might have worsened.
Barcelona Guayaquil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fluminense that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barcelona Guayaquil could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30.8%
38.5%
30.8%
Fluminense - Barcelona Guayaquil Predictions
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 8 - 30.8%). Barcelona will win (votes: 8 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 38.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.8% – 57.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
1st leg.
Recent matches Fluminense is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Barcelona Guayaquil is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Fluminense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Barcelona Guayaquil have a series of home games.
Fluminense will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Fluminense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
Watch
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